2016 Election Competitive States
As of November 5th
These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls. To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.
As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.

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MA |
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CT |
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Map :
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is fighting an uphill battle to win a second term in this rematch from the 2021 election
House Updates: James Running for MI Gov.; Abbott Calls TX Special Election
The Michigan Republican looks to succeed Whitmer, while the special election will (eventually) fill a House vacancy
House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat
The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
Overview and Live Results: Florida Congressional Special Elections
While winning might be a bridge too far for Dems in these deep red districts, a close outcome will
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