JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Democrats’ Ugliest Primary Comes to an End
Why It’s So Hard to Poll RFK Jr.’s Support
House Republicans Zero In on Wedge Issues
Nevada Poses a Challenge and a Mystery for Biden
Back to Normal May Not Be Enough for Biden
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
Live Results: New York Congressional District 26 Special Election
There is also a legislative special election runoff in Alabama
Live Results: Puerto Rico Democratic Primary
The territory is expected to add 55 delegates to Joe Biden's total, which now exceeds 3,300
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