Upshot Presidential Forecast
This isn’t a popularity contest™
Updated three times a day, this is an electoral map derived from The New York Times Upshot state-level probabilities. The Upshot model combines state polls, a state's past election results and national polling to generate these probabilities.
The toss-up tan color is used when no candidate has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Clinton or Trump, deepening as the chance of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (80%+), Dark (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Ivanka Trump Mulls Joining Her Father on the Campaign
Murphy Schedules Special Election for Payne’s Seat
Inside Trump’s Quiet VP Search
Biden Rolls Out Abortion Ad Targeting Latino Men
Trump Finally Gets the Convention of His Dreams
Headlines
Live Results: New York Congressional District 26 Special Election
There is also a legislative special election runoff in Alabama
Live Results: Puerto Rico Democratic Primary
The territory is expected to add 55 delegates to Joe Biden's total, which now exceeds 3,300
Overview and Live Results: Pennsylvania Primary
Keystone State voters will weigh in on both presidential and downballot contests
Wyoming and Puerto Rico Republican Nominating Contests
The Wyoming State Convention concludes a multi-step nominating process, while a party-run primary takes place in the U.S. territory
Kansas Republican Rep. Jake LaTurner Not Seeking Reelection
His retirement announcement cites a desire to spend more time with his family
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