Cook Political Report Forecast

Final Forecast: November 7th

This was the final projection for the 2016 election from Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

To learn more or to subscribe, visit The Cook Political Report.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2016 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below (2028 electoral votes will display)
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Map :

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Headlines

Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith Not Seeking Reelection in 2026

February 13, 2025

She becomes the second Democratic Senator to retire this cycle

Cook Political Report Releases Initial 2026 House Ratings

February 7, 2025

The midterm election is shaping up to be another closely-contested battle for control of the chamber

Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries

January 28, 2025

The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1

Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters Won't Seek Reelection in 2026

January 28, 2025

He is completing his second term. He chaired the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the past two cycles

Cook Political Report Introduces 2026 Governor Ratings

January 24, 2025

36 states will hold elections next year; the forecaster sees five toss-ups with their initial ratings