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Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 23 Polls† 48.6% 46.8% -
FAU / Mainstreet 11/04/2024 713 LV 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College 11/04/2024 790 LV ±3.4% 50% 48% 2%
Research Co. 11/04/2024 450 LV ±4.6% 49% 47% 4%
InsiderAdvantage 11/03/2024 800 LV ±3.7% 47% 47% 6%
Trafalgar Group 11/03/2024 1,079 LV ±2.9% 47% 48% 5%
MIRS / Mich. News Source 11/03/2024 585 LV ±4% 50% 48% 2%
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 998 LV ±3.7% 47% 47% 6%
Morning Consult 11/03/2024 1,108 LV ±3% 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 1,198 LV ±3% 48% 50% 2%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 1,731 LV ±2.2% 47% 47% 6%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 942 LV ±3.9% 48% 45% 7%
EPIC-MRA 11/01/2024 600 LV ±4% 48% 45% 7%
Marist Poll 11/01/2024 1,214 LV ±3.5% 51% 48% 1%
AtlasIntel 10/31/2024 1,136 LV ±3% 49% 49% 2%
Echelon Insights 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.4% 48% 48% 4%
MIRS / Mich. News Source 10/31/2024 1,117 LV ±2.5% 47% 49% 4%
UMass Lowell 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.5% 49% 45% 6%
Washington Post 10/31/2024 1,003 LV ±3.7% 47% 46% 7%
Fox News 10/30/2024 988 LV ±3% 49% 49% 2%
CNN 10/30/2024 726 LV ±4.7% 48% 43% 9%
Suffolk University 10/30/2024 500 LV ±4.4% 47% 47% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 728 LV ±3.5% 49% 48% 3%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 983 LV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
Susquehanna Polling 10/29/2024 400 LV ±4.9% 52% 47% 1%
Emerson College 10/29/2024 1,000 LV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
Glengariff Group 10/28/2024 600 LV ±4% 47% 44% 9%
InsiderAdvantage 10/28/2024 800 LV ±3.7% 47% 48% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 1,115 LV ±2.7% 47% 47% 6%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 705 LV ±4% 50% 46% 4%
Quinnipiac 10/23/2024 1,136 LV ±2.9% 50% 46% 4%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 15 Polls† 47.7% 1.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 45.9% -
MIRS / Mich. News Source 11/03/2024 585 LV ±4% 49% 1% 0% 1% 1% 48% 0%
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 998 LV ±3.7% 45% 2% 0% 0% 1% 45% 7%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 1,198 LV ±3% 48% 2% - - 0% 49% 1%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 1,731 LV ±2.2% 47% 1% - - 1% 47% 4%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 942 LV ±3.9% 48% 2% - 0% - 45% 5%
EPIC-MRA 11/01/2024 600 LV ±4% 48% 3% 3% 1% - 45% 0%
AtlasIntel 10/31/2024 1,136 LV ±3% 48% 2% - - 0% 49% 1%
Echelon Insights 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.4% 47% 0% 1% 0% 0% 47% 5%
MIRS / Mich. News Source 10/31/2024 1,117 LV ±2.5% 47% 1% 1% - 0% 49% 2%
UMass Lowell 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.5% 49% 0% 1% 0% 1% 45% 4%
Washington Post 10/31/2024 1,003 LV ±3.7% 47% 1% - - - 46% 6%
Fox News 10/30/2024 988 LV ±3% 48% 0% 3% 1% 1% 46% 1%
CNN 10/30/2024 726 LV ±4.7% 48% 2% 3% 1% 0% 43% 3%
Suffolk University 10/30/2024 500 LV ±4.4% 47% 1% 1% 1% 0% 47% 3%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 728 LV ±3.5% 49% 1% - - 0% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 983 LV ±3% 48% 2% - - 0% 49% 1%
Glengariff Group 10/28/2024 600 LV ±4% 47% - 4% - - 44% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 1,115 LV ±2.7% 47% 1% - - 0% 47% 5%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 705 LV ±4% 49% 1% - - 2% 46% 2%
Quinnipiac 10/23/2024 1,136 LV ±2.9% 49% 1% - 1% 0% 46% 3%
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Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 6 Polls† 40.7% 43.7% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 437 LV ±4.2% 41% 42% 17%
EPIC-MRA 7/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 42% 49% 9%
Trafalgar Group 7/18/2024 1,091 LV ±2.9% 43% 45% 12%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 42% 45% 13%
Redfield & Wilton 7/15/2024 465 LV 43% 42% 15%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 1,000 RV ±3.6% 40% 42% 18%
MRG 7/14/2024 600 RV ±4% 36% 39% 25%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 694 RV ±4% 48% 43% 9%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 44% 45% 11%
EPIC-MRA 6/29/2024 600 LV ±4% 45% 49% 6%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 40.0% 1.2% 5.8% 1.3% 0.5% 43.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 437 LV ±4.2% 41% 1% 6% - 1% 42% 9%
EPIC-MRA 7/21/2024 600 LV ±4% 36% 2% 8% 2% - 43% 9%
Trafalgar Group 7/18/2024 1,091 LV ±2.9% 43% 1% 4% 1% - 45% 6%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 40% 1% 7% 1% 0% 43% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 7/15/2024 465 LV 43% 0% 6% - 1% 42% 8%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 1,000 RV ±3.6% 40% 1% 4% 1% - 42% 12%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 694 RV ±4% 45% 1% 6% 2% 1% 39% 6%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 1% 6% 1% 1% 43% 7%
EPIC-MRA 6/29/2024 600 LV ±4% 38% 2% 10% 2% - 41% 7%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 42% 1% 5% 1% - 44% 7%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Michigan Winner
Biden
Trump
Kerry
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
2004
1976