Minnesota 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 49.8% 43.6% -
Research Co. 11/04/2024 450 LV ±4.6% 51% 44% 5%
Chism Strategies 11/02/2024 534 LV ±4.2% 48% 43% 9%
SurveyUSA 10/29/2024 728 LV ±4% 51% 43% 6%
MinnPost 10/28/2024 1,734 LV ±2.4% 48% 45% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 10/16/2024 544 LV ±3.9% 51% 43% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 10/07/2024 551 LV ±3.9% 51% 43% 6%
SurveyUSA 9/26/2024 646 LV ±4.3% 50% 44% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 9/23/2024 703 LV ±3.5% 50% 44% 6%
Mason-Dixon 9/23/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 48% 43% 9%
Morning Consult 9/19/2024 517 LV ±4.4% 50% 43% 7%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 49.5% 1.0% 1.0% - 0.0% 43.0% -
Chism Strategies 11/02/2024 534 LV ±4.2% 48% 1% 1% - 0% 43% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 10/16/2024 544 LV ±3.9% 51% 1% - - 0% 43% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/07/2024 551 LV ±3.9% 51% 0% - - 1% 43% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 9/23/2024 703 LV ±3.5% 50% 1% - - 0% 44% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 9/10/2024 617 LV ±3.7% 51% 0% - - 0% 44% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 8/30/2024 426 LV ±4.4% 51% 0% - - 1% 42% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 8/19/2024 475 LV ±4.2% 47% 0% 3% - 0% 40% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 8/06/2024 538 LV ±3.9% 46% 0% 3% - 0% 41% 10%
Fox News 7/26/2024 1,071 RV ±3% 47% 1% 7% 1% - 41% 3%
Redfield & Wilton 7/26/2024 475 LV ±4.1% 44% 1% 6% - 0% 41% 8%

Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 45.0% 43.0% -
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 45% 45% 10%
Mason-Dixon 6/10/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 45% 41% 14%
SurveyUSA 5/14/2024 625 LV ±4.3% 44% 42% 14%
SurveyUSA 4/09/2024 608 LV ±4.9% 44% 42% 14%
SurveyUSA 3/07/2024 1,603 LV ±3% 42% 38% 20%
SurveyUSA 1/31/2024 1,594 RV ±2.8% 42% 39% 19%
MinnPost 11/29/2023 1,519 LV ±2.6% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College 10/16/2023 477 RV ±4.4% 40% 38% 22%
CWS Research 4/25/2023 677 LV ±3.8% 42% 45% 13%

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 43.0% 1.0% 6.0% 1.0% - 41.5% -
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 1% 6% 1% - 42% 9%
Mason-Dixon 6/10/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 45% - 6% - - 41% 8%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Minnesota Winner
Biden
Clinton
Nixon
Hughes
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Nixon
Wilson
2020
2016
1972
1916