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Nevada 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 13 Polls† 47.6% 48.2% -
Emerson College 11/04/2024 840 LV ±3.3% 48% 48% 4%
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 1,010 LV ±3.6% 49% 46% 5%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 782 LV ±4% 46% 52% 2%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 690 LV ±3.5% 47% 48% 5%
Data for Progress 11/01/2024 721 LV ±4% 49% 47% 4%
Noble Predictive Insights 11/01/2024 593 LV ±4% 49% 48% 3%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 773 LV ±4.6% 48% 47% 5%
Susquehanna Polling 11/01/2024 400 LV ±4.9% 44% 50% 6%
Emerson College 11/01/2024 700 LV ±3.6% 48% 47% 5%
AtlasIntel 10/31/2024 845 LV ±3% 47% 51% 2%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 531 LV ±4% 47% 47% 6%
Trafalgar Group 10/29/2024 1,082 LV ±2.9% 48% 48% 4%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 1,083 LV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
CNN 10/29/2024 683 LV ±4.6% 47% 48% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 540 LV ±3.9% 46% 47% 7%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 420 LV ±5% 49% 48% 3%
AARP 10/22/2024 600 LV ±4% 47% 49% 4%
InsiderAdvantage 10/22/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 48% 48% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 529 LV ±3.9% 46% 47% 7%
Wash. Post - Schar School 10/21/2024 652 LV ±4.8% 48% 48% 4%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 8 Polls† 47.8% 0.0% - 0.0% 1.0% 47.4% -
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 1,010 LV ±3.6% 48% - - - 2% 46% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 690 LV ±3.5% 47% 0% - - 1% 48% 4%
Data for Progress 11/01/2024 721 LV ±4% 49% 0% - - 1% 47% 3%
Noble Predictive Insights 11/01/2024 593 LV ±4% 49% - - - 0% 48% 3%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 773 LV ±4.6% 48% 0% - 0% - 47% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 531 LV ±4% 47% 0% - - 1% 47% 5%
CNN 10/29/2024 683 LV ±4.6% 47% - - - 1% 48% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 540 LV ±3.9% 46% 0% - - 0% 47% 7%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 420 LV ±5% 48% 0% - - 1% 48% 3%
AARP 10/22/2024 600 LV ±4% 46% - - - 1% 47% 6%
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Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 42.2% 46.6% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 412 LV ±4.2% 41% 44% 15%
InsiderAdvantage 7/18/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 42% 49% 9%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 46% 13%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 800 RV ±4.7% 42% 46% 12%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 452 RV ±5% 45% 48% 7%
National Public Affairs 7/03/2024 817 LV ±3.4% 33% 42% 25%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 41% 47% 12%
AARP 6/25/2024 600 LV ±4% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 46% 11%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,069 RV ±3% 45% 50% 5%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 39.0% 1.0% 7.0% 1.5% 0.5% 44.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 412 LV ±4.2% 41% 1% 7% - 0% 44% 7%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 40% 1% 7% 1% 1% 43% 7%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 800 RV ±4.7% 42% 1% 3% 0% - 46% 8%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 452 RV ±5% 39% 0% 6% 2% 1% 45% 7%
National Public Affairs 7/03/2024 817 LV ±3.4% 33% 2% 12% 3% 0% 42% 8%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 38% 2% 7% 1% 1% 45% 6%
AARP 6/25/2024 600 LV ±4% 37% 1% 10% - 1% 44% 7%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 39% 2% 7% 2% - 42% 8%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,069 RV ±3% 40% 2% 7% 2% - 45% 4%
FAU / Mainstreet 5/23/2024 494 LV 40% - 8% - - 46% 6%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Nevada Winner
Biden
Clinton
Bush
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
2004
1976