North Carolina 2024 Presidential Election Polls
Harris vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 16 Polls† | 47.3% | 48.6% | - | |||
| East Carolina Univ. | 11/04/2024 | 1,250 LV ±3% | 48% | 50% | 2% | |
| Emerson College | 11/04/2024 | 860 LV ±3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| InsiderAdvantage | 11/03/2024 | 800 LV ±3.4% | 47% | 49% | 4% | |
| NY Times / Siena College | 11/03/2024 | 1,010 LV ±3.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% | |
| Morning Consult | 11/03/2024 | 1,056 LV ±3% | 47% | 49% | 4% | |
| AtlasIntel | 11/02/2024 | 1,310 LV ±3% | 47% | 51% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 11/01/2024 | 1,123 LV ±2.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 11/01/2024 | 949 LV ±4.2% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/31/2024 | 1,373 LV ±3% | 47% | 51% | 2% | |
| CNN | 10/31/2024 | 750 LV ±4.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| UMass Lowell | 10/31/2024 | 650 LV ±4.2% | 45% | 47% | 8% | |
| Fox News | 10/30/2024 | 872 LV ±3% | 49% | 50% | 1% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/29/2024 | 770 LV ±3.2% | 46% | 48% | 6% | |
| Trafalgar Group | 10/29/2024 | 1,091 LV ±2.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/29/2024 | 1,665 LV ±3% | 49% | 48% | 3% | |
| SurveyUSA | 10/29/2024 | 853 LV ±4.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% | |
| Elon University | 10/29/2024 | 800 RV ±4% | 46% | 46% | 8% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/25/2024 | 679 LV ±3.5% | 47% | 48% | 5% | |
| Emerson College | 10/24/2024 | 950 LV ±3.1% | 48% | 50% | 2% | |
| Marist Poll | 10/24/2024 | 1,226 LV ±3.6% | 48% | 50% | 2% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 10/23/2024 | 702 LV ±4% | 48% | 50% | 2% | |
| InsiderAdvantage | 10/22/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% | |
| SurveyUSA | 10/22/2024 | 1,164 RV ±3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/21/2024 | 843 LV ±3.1% | 45% | 48% | 7% | |
| Wash. Post - Schar School | 10/21/2024 | 965 LV ±3.9% | 47% | 50% | 3% | |
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Harris vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 9 Polls† | 47.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 48.2% | - | |||
| East Carolina Univ. | 11/04/2024 | 1,250 LV ±3% | 48% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 50% | 2% | |
| NY Times / Siena College | 11/03/2024 | 1,010 LV ±3.6% | 48% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 45% | 7% | |
| AtlasIntel | 11/02/2024 | 1,310 LV ±3% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 50% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 11/01/2024 | 1,123 LV ±2.7% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 3% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 11/01/2024 | 949 LV ±4.2% | 48% | 1% | - | 0% | - | 49% | 2% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/31/2024 | 1,373 LV ±3% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 51% | 1% | |
| CNN | 10/31/2024 | 750 LV ±4.5% | 48% | 1% | - | 1% | 1% | 47% | 2% | |
| UMass Lowell | 10/31/2024 | 650 LV ±4.2% | 45% | 1% | - | 1% | 0% | 47% | 6% | |
| Fox News | 10/30/2024 | 872 LV ±3% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 49% | 0% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/29/2024 | 770 LV ±3.2% | 46% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 4% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/29/2024 | 1,665 LV ±3% | 49% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 48% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/25/2024 | 679 LV ±3.5% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 48% | 4% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 10/23/2024 | 702 LV ±4% | 48% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 49% | 1% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/21/2024 | 843 LV ±3.1% | 45% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 48% | 6% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/19/2024 | 1,674 LV ±2% | 50% | 1% | - | 0% | 0% | 49% | 0% | |
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Biden vs. TrumpIncludes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 4 Polls† | 40.8% | 45.8% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 461 LV ±4.1% | 39% | 45% | 16% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 41% | 48% | 11% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 420 LV | 42% | 44% | 14% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.7% | 40% | 44% | 16% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 696 RV ±4% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |
| Spry Strategies | 6/17/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 44% | 48% | 8% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 6/17/2024 | 534 LV | 40% | 43% | 17% | |
| East Carolina Univ. | 6/06/2024 | 1,332 LV ±3.1% | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 6/03/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 41% | 49% | 10% | |
| Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy | 5/23/2024 | 601 LV ±4% | 41% | 48% | 11% | |
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Biden vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 4 Polls† | 39.3% | 1.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 44.5% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 461 LV ±4.1% | 39% | 1% | 5% | - | 1% | 45% | 9% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 38% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 47% | 6% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 420 LV | 42% | 1% | 4% | - | 0% | 44% | 9% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.7% | 40% | 1% | 4% | 0% | - | 44% | 11% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 696 RV ±4% | 40% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 42% | 8% | |
| Spry Strategies | 6/17/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 37% | - | 8% | - | - | 45% | 10% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 6/17/2024 | 534 LV | 40% | 1% | 7% | - | 0% | 43% | 9% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 6/03/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 32% | 2% | 9% | 3% | - | 44% | 10% | |
| Cook Political/BSG/GS Strategy | 5/23/2024 | 601 LV ±4% | 36% | 1% | 8% | 3% | - | 44% | 8% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 5/22/2024 | 704 RV ±4% | 38% | 1% | 7% | 1% | - | 46% | 7% | |
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
When did it last happen?
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.North Carolina Winner
Trump
Trump
Obama
Stevenson
Election Winner
Trump
Biden
Obama
Eisenhower
2024
2020
2008
1956
