Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential Election Polls
Harris vs. Trump
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 25 Polls† | 48.2% | 48.2% | - | |||
| FAU / Mainstreet | 11/04/2024 | 699 LV | 49% | 47% | 4% | |
| Emerson College | 11/04/2024 | 1,000 LV ±3% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| Research Co. | 11/04/2024 | 450 LV ±4.6% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| InsiderAdvantage | 11/03/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| Trafalgar Group | 11/03/2024 | 1,089 LV ±2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% | |
| NY Times / Siena College | 11/03/2024 | 1,527 LV ±2.9% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| Muhlenberg College | 11/03/2024 | 460 LV ±6% | 49% | 47% | 4% | |
| Morning Consult | 11/03/2024 | 1,538 LV ±3% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| AtlasIntel | 11/02/2024 | 2,049 LV ±2% | 48% | 50% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 11/01/2024 | 1,596 LV ±2.3% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| Data for Progress | 11/01/2024 | 908 LV ±3% | 50% | 48% | 2% | |
| Washington Post | 11/01/2024 | 1,204 LV ±3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 11/01/2024 | 956 LV ±3.5% | 49% | 46% | 5% | |
| Suffolk University | 11/01/2024 | 500 LV ±4.4% | 49% | 49% | 2% | |
| Marist Poll | 11/01/2024 | 1,400 LV ±3.4% | 50% | 48% | 2% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/31/2024 | 1,738 LV ±2% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| Echelon Insights | 10/31/2024 | 600 LV ±4.5% | 46% | 52% | 2% | |
| UMass Lowell | 10/31/2024 | 800 LV ±3.7% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| Fox News | 10/30/2024 | 1,057 LV ±3% | 49% | 50% | 1% | |
| Quinnipiac | 10/30/2024 | 2,186 LV ±2.1% | 47% | 49% | 4% | |
| Susquehanna Polling | 10/30/2024 | 500 LV ±4.4% | 46% | 46% | 8% | |
| CNN | 10/30/2024 | 819 LV ±4.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| CBS / YouGov | 10/29/2024 | 1,273 RV ±3.6% | 49% | 49% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/29/2024 | 1,116 LV ±2.8% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/29/2024 | 1,299 LV ±3% | 47% | 50% | 3% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 10/28/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 47% | 47% | 6% | |
| InsiderAdvantage | 10/28/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 47% | 48% | 5% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/25/2024 | 1,586 LV ±2.3% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| Franklin & Marshall | 10/24/2024 | 583 LV ±5% | 49% | 50% | 1% | |
| Emerson College | 10/24/2024 | 860 LV ±3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 10/23/2024 | 812 LV ±3% | 50% | 48% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/21/2024 | 1,256 LV ±2.6% | 48% | 48% | 4% | |
| Wash. Post - Schar School | 10/21/2024 | 707 LV ±4.6% | 49% | 47% | 4% | |
| Trafalgar Group | 10/20/2024 | 1,084 LV ±2.9% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/19/2024 | 2,048 LV ±2% | 47% | 50% | 3% | |
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Harris vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Harris | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 12 Polls† | 47.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 47.8% | - | |||
| NY Times / Siena College | 11/03/2024 | 1,527 LV ±2.9% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 47% | 5% | |
| AtlasIntel | 11/02/2024 | 2,049 LV ±2% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 49% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 11/01/2024 | 1,596 LV ±2.3% | 48% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 3% | |
| Data for Progress | 11/01/2024 | 908 LV ±3% | 50% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 48% | 1% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 11/01/2024 | 956 LV ±3.5% | 49% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 46% | 5% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/31/2024 | 1,738 LV ±2% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 49% | 2% | |
| Echelon Insights | 10/31/2024 | 600 LV ±4.5% | 46% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 51% | 2% | |
| UMass Lowell | 10/31/2024 | 800 LV ±3.7% | 48% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 47% | 3% | |
| Fox News | 10/30/2024 | 1,057 LV ±3% | 48% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 48% | 1% | |
| Quinnipiac | 10/30/2024 | 2,186 LV ±2.1% | 46% | 2% | - | - | 1% | 47% | 4% | |
| CNN | 10/30/2024 | 819 LV ±4.7% | 48% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 2% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/29/2024 | 1,116 LV ±2.8% | 48% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 3% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/29/2024 | 1,299 LV ±3% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 49% | 2% | |
| North Star Opinion Research | 10/28/2024 | 600 LV ±4% | 47% | 1% | - | - | 1% | 47% | 4% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/25/2024 | 1,586 LV ±2.3% | 48% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 47% | 4% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 10/23/2024 | 812 LV ±3% | 50% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 1% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/21/2024 | 1,256 LV ±2.6% | 48% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 3% | |
| AtlasIntel | 10/19/2024 | 2,048 LV ±2% | 47% | 2% | - | - | 1% | 50% | 0% | |
| UMass Lowell | 10/17/2024 | 800 LV ±3.9% | 46% | 1% | - | - | 0% | 45% | 8% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 10/16/2024 | 1,649 LV ±2.3% | 48% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 48% | 3% | |
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Biden vs. TrumpIncludes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 5 Polls† | 42.8% | 46.6% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 688 LV ±3.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% | |
| InsiderAdvantage | 7/18/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 719 LV | 40% | 45% | 15% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.4% | 40% | 43% | 17% | |
| NY Times / Siena College | 7/15/2024 | 872 LV ±3.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 794 RV ±3% | 44% | 51% | 5% | |
| Emerson College | 7/02/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
| Emerson College | 7/02/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
| Cygnal | 7/01/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% | |
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Biden vs. TrumpIncluding Third Parties and Independents
A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.
| Source | Date | Sample | Biden | Stein | Kennedy | West | Oliver | Trump | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average of 5 Polls† | 40.0% | 1.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 44.0% | - | |||
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/21/2024 | 688 LV ±3.4% | 41% | 1% | 4% | - | 0% | 45% | 9% | |
| Emerson College | 7/18/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 40% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 46% | 8% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 7/15/2024 | 719 LV | 40% | 1% | 6% | - | 0% | 45% | 8% | |
| The Times (UK) / YouGov | 7/15/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3.4% | 40% | 1% | 3% | 1% | - | 43% | 12% | |
| Bloomberg / Morning Consult | 7/06/2024 | 794 RV ±3% | 41% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 44% | 6% | |
| Emerson College | 7/02/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 40% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 45% | 6% | |
| Emerson College | 7/02/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 40% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 45% | 6% | |
| Cygnal | 7/01/2024 | 800 LV ±3.5% | 38% | 2% | 9% | 2% | - | 42% | 7% | |
| Emerson College | 6/20/2024 | 1,000 RV ±3% | 42% | 1% | 5% | 0% | - | 45% | 7% | |
| Redfield & Wilton | 6/17/2024 | 456 LV | 42% | 1% | 5% | - | 0% | 44% | 8% | |
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
When did it last happen?
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.Pennsylvania Winner
Biden
Trump
Kerry
Dewey
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Truman
2020
2016
2004
1948
