2025-2026 Governor Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2025-2026 Governor forecast.
2025-2026 Governor Elections: Consensus Forecast
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. New Jersey and Virginia hold elections in 2025, with 36 other states to follow in 2026. Another 11 states follow in 2024.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Currently, it is limited to just two, but more will be included as additional projections become available.
Use the map as a starting point to create and share your own 2025-26 governor forecast.
May 13: Iowa Likely to Leans Republican.
2025-2026 Kalshi Prediction Market Prices
This is a forecast map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2025-26 gubernatorial elections.
Every 15 minutes, the price to buy (the 'ask' price) the Democratic or Republican party in each election market is compared. The Consensus rating is used for AK, NE, and NH until markets are available.
The Toss-Up tan color is only used where neither party has market odds implying a 55% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (55%+) Lean (65%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2025-26 governor forecast.
Sabato's Crystal Ball 2025-26 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. New Jersey and Virginia hold elections in 2025, with 36 other states to follow in 2026.
This map reflects the current 2025-26 governor race ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
May 1: Initial Ratings for 36 seats open in 2026. Read the analysis >
This follow's yesterday's forecast for NJ and VA in 2025.
Cook Political Report 2025-26 Governor Ratings
The nation’s governorships are nearly evenly split between the two parties, with 27 Republicans and 23 Democrats holding office. New Jersey and Virginia hold elections in 2025, with 36 other states to follow in 2026.
This map reflects the current 2025-26 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast.
May 12: Iowa Safe to Leans Republican. Read the analysis ($) >
Inside Elections 2025-26 Governor Ratings
The latest 2025-26 gubernatorial ratings from Inside Elections. Use the map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 38 gubernatorial races to be contested through 2026. This includes 2025 elections in New Jersey and Virginia.
April 17: No changes
The 2026 ratings are currently divided between Battleground and Safe. The forecaster will add more granular ratings later in the cycle. 11 of 36 seats (8 Democrats, 3 Republicans) are in the Battleground category.
