2026 Polls: Texas Senate

General Election

Allred vs. Paxton

Source Date Sample Allred Paxton Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 46% 48% 6%

O'Rourke vs. Paxton

Source Date Sample O'Rourke Paxton Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 45% 49% 6%

Castro vs. Paxton

Source Date Sample Castro Paxton Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 44% 47% 9%

Allred vs. Cornyn

Source Date Sample Allred Cornyn* Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 44% 48% 8%

* Incumbent

O'Rourke vs. Cornyn

Source Date Sample O'Rourke Cornyn* Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 43% 49% 8%

* Incumbent

Castro vs. Cornyn

Source Date Sample Castro Cornyn* Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 41% 48% 11%

* Incumbent

Allred vs. Hunt

Source Date Sample Allred Hunt Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 44% 47% 9%

O'Rourke vs. Hunt

Source Date Sample O'Rourke Hunt Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 43% 49% 8%

Castro vs. Hunt

Source Date Sample Castro Hunt Other
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 1,200 RV ±2.8% 42% 48% 10%

Primary Election

Republican Primary

Source Date Sample Paxton Cornyn* Hunt Other
Average of 2 Polls† 42.0% 27.5% 15.0% -
UpOne Insights 6/03/2025 600 LV ±4% 50% 28% - 22%
Texas Southern University 5/28/2025 510 LV ±4.3% 34% 27% 15% 24%

* Incumbent

† An average is calculated when there are multiple qualifying polls. The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.