2028 Republican Presidential Nomination
1,215 Delegates Needed to Win Nomination
Estimated Delegates Earned
Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus in January, 2028. A majority of the 2,429 delegates (1,215 or more) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.
Visit the Republican Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.
The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Republican convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.
VT |
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
| AS | |
| GU | |
| MP |
| PR | |
| VI |
| Early | Super Tuesday March 7 | Other March | April | May | June |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican contests allocate pledged delegates in a variety of ways, ranging from winner-take-all to proportional. Some locations base the allocation on the statewide result only. Others use a combination of statewide and jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).
A winner-take-all allocation to a candidate getting a plurality of the popular vote is only permitted for contests scheduled after March 15. For earlier contests, it is allowed with certain threshold conditions attached, such as the example in the next paragraph.
Many states have additional rules based on how the vote turns out. For example, ‘winner-take-all if a candidate gets a majority, otherwise proportional to all candidates getting 20%’. Sometimes these rules are different for statewide delegates, and those allocated by congressional district. Visit The Greenpapers and FHQ for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.
National Polls
The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.
| Source | Date | Sample | Vance | DeSantis | Kennedy | Haley | Cruz | Ramaswamy | Rubio | Noem | Scott | H. Sanders | Hawley | Youngkin | Britt | Burgum | Stefanik | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll Averages† | 51.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | - | - | - | - | |||
| Echelon Insights | 3/14/2025 | 450 LV | 46% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | 15% | |
| J.L. Partners | 3/12/2025 | 1,000 RV | 57% | 13% | - | 6% | 6% | 8% | 2% | - | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | |
| Echelon Insights | 2/13/2025 | 466 LV | 39% | 10% | - | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 22% | |
† An average is calculated when there are multiple qualifying polls. The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.
