LIVE ELECTION RESULTS
2020 Electoral Map Based on Polling Averages
By 270toWin Staff
May 21, 2020
In response to many requests, we've created a map that will track the electoral vote based exclusively on polling averages. While good as a benchmark, keep in mind that polling this far from the election may ultimately prove to be of limited predictive value.
If the difference between Biden and Trump is less than 5%, these will display as toss-ups. States are shown as leaning toward a candidate if the margin is 5 to 9.99%. Likely is 10 to 14.99%, with states shown as safe where the margin is 15% or more.
Where polling is not yet available, we are using the actual margin between Clinton and Trump in 2016.
Headlines
House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled
Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January
Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled
The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14
Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin
Republicans Retain House Majority
The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 10
One Senate seat remains undecided, along with ten House seats. Control of the House remains undetermined
