Sabato's Crystal Ball: Final Election Forecast

This is the final 2020 election forecast from Sabato's Crystal Ball.  As is their custom, races with a toss-up rating are projected as leaning toward a party. The only exceptions this year are for the two Georgia U.S. Senate races - the forecaster sees those both as likely headed for a runoff.

November 2 updates and analysis

Maps of the final Crystal Ball projections follow. Click or tap any of them for an interactive version.


President

November 2: All toss-ups are removed. Florida, Iowa, ME-2 and Ohio move to Leans Republican; Georgia and North Carolina to Leans Democratic.


Senate

November 2: Iowa moves from Leans Democratic to Leans Republican; North Carolina from Toss-up to Leans Democratic; Texas from Likely to Leans Republican.

 
<

House

November 2: 18 Toss-ups moved: 11 to Leans Democratic, 7 to Leans Republican.  NV-3 moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; NC-9 Safe to Likely Republican; NC-11, WA-3 Likely to Leans Republican.

 

Governor

November 2: Montana moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican.


comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat

The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories

Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court

Overview and Live Results: Florida Congressional Special Elections

While winning might be a bridge too far for Dems in these deep red districts, a close outcome will

Live Results: April 1 Legislative Special Elections

Voters in Florida, Oklahoma, and South Carolina will begin the process of filling a number of legislative vacancies

Live Results: Omaha Mayoral Primary

Republican Mayor Jean Stothert seeks an unprecedented 4th term in office