Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
By 270toWin Staff
July 25, 2024, 9:07 AM ET
We've created a Harris vs. Trump polling map. This will replace the Biden vs. Trump polling map that is no longer being updated.
The polling map does not consider forecasts of how the election will go in November. It is best thought of as an 'if the election was today' view of things.
State-level polling for the nascent general election match-up is extremely limited to this point, but should become more plentiful in the weeks ahead.
Given the lack of polling, each state on the map is rated based on the following methodology:
- The calculated Harris vs. Trump polling average (if multiple qualifying polls) or most recent poll (if only one)
- If nothing available in #1, we use the Biden vs. Trump average (or most recent poll if only one) as of July 21, the date of the president's withdrawal
- If nothing available in #2, we use the 2020 margin between Trump and Biden
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