Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
By 270toWin Staff
July 25, 2024, 9:07 AM ET
We've created a Harris vs. Trump polling map. This will replace the Biden vs. Trump polling map that is no longer being updated.
The polling map does not consider forecasts of how the election will go in November. It is best thought of as an 'if the election was today' view of things.
State-level polling for the nascent general election match-up is extremely limited to this point, but should become more plentiful in the weeks ahead.
Given the lack of polling, each state on the map is rated based on the following methodology:
- The calculated Harris vs. Trump polling average (if multiple qualifying polls) or most recent poll (if only one)
- If nothing available in #1, we use the Biden vs. Trump average (or most recent poll if only one) as of July 21, the date of the president's withdrawal
- If nothing available in #2, we use the 2020 margin between Trump and Biden
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
Overview and Live Results: Florida Congressional Special Elections
While winning might be a bridge too far for Dems in these deep red districts, a close outcome will
Live Results: April 1 Legislative Special Elections
Voters in Florida, Oklahoma, and South Carolina will begin the process of filling a number of legislative vacancies
Live Results: Omaha Mayoral Primary
Republican Mayor Jean Stothert seeks an unprecedented 4th term in office
Live Results: Louisiana Proposed Constitutional Amendments
These statewide ballot measures are part of the March 29 municipal election
