Polling Map for Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

We've created a Harris vs. Trump polling map. This will replace the Biden vs. Trump polling map that is no longer being updated.

The polling map does not consider forecasts of how the election will go in November. It is best thought of as an 'if the election was today' view of things.

State-level polling for the nascent general election match-up is extremely limited to this point, but should become more plentiful in the weeks ahead.

Given the lack of polling, each state on the map is rated based on the following methodology:

  1. The calculated Harris vs. Trump polling average (if multiple qualifying polls) or most recent poll (if only one)
  2. If nothing available in #1, we use the Biden vs. Trump average (or most recent poll if only one) as of July 21, the date of the president's withdrawal
  3. If nothing available in #2, we use the 2020 margin between Trump and Biden
comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Live Results: April 22 Connecticut and Mississippi State House Special Elections

Three vacancies will be filled across these two states

Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens Running for U.S. Senate

She will look to succeed retiring fellow Democratic Sen. Gary Peters

Live Results: April 15 State Legislative and Oakland Mayoral Special Elections

Oakland voter will select a new mayor after the prior one was recalled in November

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026

In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family