2020 House Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2020 House forecast.
Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called.
2020 House Elections: Consensus Forecast
A consensus outlook for the 2020 House elections based on the current ratings of Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections as well as the probabilistic FiveThirtyEight model. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view this forecast as a table and in state view.
November 2: AR-2 moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; CA-39, NV-3 Likely to Leans Democratic; MN-7, NY-24 Toss-up to Leans Republican; NJ-5 Likely to Safe Democratic; NY-22, TX-24 Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
FiveThirtyEight House Forecast
Updated every four hours, this is an interactive House map derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 House Election Forecast.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House election forecast.
Crystal Ball 2020 House Ratings
The final 2020 House forecast from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.
November 2: 18 Toss-ups moved: 11 to Leans Democratic, 7 to Leans Republican. NV-3 moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; NC-9 Safe to Likely Republican; NC-11, WA-3 Likely to Leans Republican. Read the analysis.
Cook Political Report 2020 House Ratings
The final 2020 House forecast from The Cook Political Report. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.
November 2: AR-2, TX-10 move from Leans Republican to Toss-up; NJ-3, PA-17 Leans to Likely Democratic; NJ-5, NY-18 Likely to Safe Democratic; TX-24 Toss-up to Leans Democratic; TX-31 Likely to Leans Republican. Read the analysis by David Wasserman>>
Inside Elections 2020 House Ratings
The final 2020 House forecast from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can view this forecast as a table.
October 28: 20+ ratings changes
Politico 2020 House Forecast
The current 2020 House forecast from Politico. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast. You can also view this forecast as a table.
November 2: 17 changes (scroll to 'Latest rating changes')
Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Forecast
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection derived from the Decision Desk | 0ptimus 2020 House Election Model.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House election forecast.
