FiveThirtyEight House Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

This table is associated with the following map URL. It categorizes all congressional districts not designated as "safe" in that map as of the time specified below the table.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-house-election/fivethirtyeight-2022-house-forecast

no 2022 election
no 2022 election
Likely Dem (22)
20
2
0
AZ-4 Stanton
CA-9 Harder
CA-47 Porter
CA-49 Levin
CO-7 OPEN
FL-23 OPEN
GA-2 Bishop Jr.
IL-13 OPEN
IL-14 Underwood
IN-1 Mrvan
KS-3 Davids
MI-8 Kildee
MN-2 Craig
NH-2 Kuster
NJ-3 Kim
NJ-5 Gottheimer
NV-4 Horsford
NY-4 OPEN
OH-9 Kaptur
OR-4 OPEN
TX-28 Cuellar
VA-10 Wexton
Leans Dem (15)
13
2
0
CA-13 OPEN
CT-5 Hayes
IL-6 Casten
IL-17 OPEN
MD-6 Trone
ME-2 Golden
MI-7 Slotkin
NH-1 Pappas
NV-3 Lee
NY-3 OPEN
NY-17 Maloney
NY-18 Ryan
OR-6 OPEN
VA-7 Spanberger
WA-8 Schrier
Toss-up (13)
9
3
1
AK-AL Peltola
IA-3 Axne
MI-3 OPEN
NV-1 Titus
NY-19 OPEN
OR-5 OPEN
PA-7 Wild
PA-8 Cartwright
PA-17 OPEN
RI-2 OPEN
TX-15 OPEN
TX-34 Mayra Flores | Vicente Gonzalez
VA-2 Luria
Leans Rep (5)
2
3
AZ-2 O'Halleran
CA-22 Valadao
CA-27 Garcia
NJ-7 Malinowski
NY-22 OPEN
Likely Rep (16)
2
5
9
AZ-6 OPEN
CA-45 Steel
CO-8 OPEN
FL-13 OPEN
FL-27 Salazar
IA-1 Miller-Meeks
IA-2 Hinson
MI-10 OPEN
MT-1 OPEN
NC-13 OPEN
NE-2 Bacon
NM-2 Herrell
NY-1 OPEN
OH-1 Chabot
OH-13 OPEN
WI-3 OPEN

Map Updated: Nov. 9, 2022 at 04:00 UTC (Nov. 8, 11:00 PM EST)