2024 North Carolina House Election Interactive Map

All US House seats to be contested in 2024

North Carolina gained a district after the 2020 Census. In 2022, each party won seven seats.

The map used that year was implemented by judicial order, after the State Supreme Court threw out maps approved by the Legislature.

In late 2023, the General Assembly enacted new maps heavily favoring Republicans. While new litigation has been filed, the updated maps will be effective for at least 2024 elections, given the early date of the state's primary.

Districts 6, 13, and 14 are highly likely to flip to the GOP under the new lines. All three Democratic incumbents are retiring or running for another office. The three districts are now among just eight Trump-Democratic districts nationwide. These are districts represented by a Democrat, but which Donald Trump won in 2020.

District 1, held by Democrat Don Davis, was also made somewhat more favorable for Republicans. It is expected to be the only truly competitive district in 2024.

To create and share your own forecast, visit the 2024 House Interactive Map.

District Incumbent Party Since Term Predictions Margin of Victory
Consensus Map House(a) President(b)
NC- 1 Don Davis
2023 1st
N/A 1.7%
Don Davis*
Laurie Buckhout
NC- 6 Kathy Manning
2021 2nd
N/A 16.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
Addison McDowell
NC- 13 Wiley Nickel
2023 1st
N/A 17.3%
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024.
Frank Pierce
Brad Knott
NC- 14 Jeff Jackson
2023 1st
N/A 16.1%
Retiring to run for NC Attorney General
Pam Genant
Tim Moore

(a) Source: 270toWin research.
Aside from these exceptions, the margin is the difference between the Democratic and Republican nominee in the 2022 general election.
Exception types: * Uncontested | + No major party opposition | ^ Both nominees from same party | x All-party primary | y Ranked choice tabulation

(b) Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, based on congressional district boundaries in use for the 2024 election. Where there has been redistricting, the 2022 boundaries are used in the Current House tab.