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Florida 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 8 Polls† 44.9% 51.1% -
Victory Insights 11/04/2024 400 LV 47% 51% 2%
Research Co. 11/04/2024 450 LV ±4.6% 44% 51% 5%
Morning Consult 11/03/2024 2,022 LV ±2% 46% 51% 3%
Stetson College 11/01/2024 452 LV ±5% 46% 53% 1%
Cygnal 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4% 43% 48% 9%
FAU / Mainstreet 10/29/2024 897 LV 44% 53% 3%
St. Pete Polls 10/28/2024 1,227 LV ±2.8% 45% 50% 5%
Emerson College 10/23/2024 860 LV ±3.3% 44% 52% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 1,275 LV ±2.5% 45% 49% 6%
Univ. of North Florida 10/21/2024 977 LV ±3.5% 43% 53% 4%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 3 Polls† 42.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 50.0% -
Cygnal 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4% 43% 1% - - 1% 48% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 1,275 LV ±2.5% 45% 0% - - 1% 49% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/16/2024 1,009 LV ±2.8% 44% 1% - - 0% 50% 5%
NY Times / Siena College 10/08/2024 622 LV ±4.8% 40% 0% 0% 0% 0% 53% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 10/07/2024 2,946 LV ±1.7% 45% 1% - - 1% 49% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 9/23/2024 1,602 LV ±2.2% 45% 0% - - 1% 50% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 9/10/2024 1,465 LV ±2.4% 44% 0% - - 0% 50% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 8/30/2024 850 LV ±3.1% 43% 0% - - 1% 48% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 8/19/2024 1,296 LV ±2.5% 43% 0% 3% - 1% 48% 5%
FAU / Mainstreet 8/14/2024 1,040 V ±3% 45% - 5% - - 47% 3%
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Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 41.5% 48.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 471 LV ±4% 39% 46% 15%
InsiderAdvantage 7/17/2024 800 RV ±4% 44% 50% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 7/15/2024 465 LV 41% 45% 14%
Redfield & Wilton 6/17/2024 432 LV 37% 43% 20%
FAU / Mainstreet 6/12/2024 771 LV 43% 49% 8%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,075 RV ±3% 46% 50% 4%
CBS / YouGov 5/19/2024 1,181 LV ±3.9% 45% 54% 1%
Redfield & Wilton 5/13/2024 586 LV 38% 47% 15%
FAU / Mainstreet 4/18/2024 815 LV 43% 51% 6%
Emerson College 4/11/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 38% 51% 11%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 471 LV ±4% 39% 0% 6% - 1% 46% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 7/15/2024 465 LV 41% 0% 5% - 0% 45% 9%
Redfield & Wilton 6/17/2024 432 LV 37% 1% 7% - 1% 43% 11%
FAU / Mainstreet 6/12/2024 771 LV 40% - 8% - - 45% 7%
Fox News 6/06/2024 1,075 RV ±3% 40% 1% 7% 2% - 47% 3%
Redfield & Wilton 5/13/2024 586 LV 38% 0% 6% - - 47% 9%
FAU / Mainstreet 4/18/2024 815 LV 40% - 6% - - 49% 5%
Emerson College 4/11/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 35% 1% 6% 1% - 49% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 3/25/2024 875 LV ±3.2% 39% 0% 7% - - 46% 8%
Redfield & Wilton 1/08/2024 931 LV 34% - 9% - - 45% 12%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Florida Winner
Trump
Trump
Obama
Davis
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Obama
Coolidge
2020
2016
2012
1924