New Mexico 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 4 Polls† 49.8% 43.8% -
Victory Insights 11/04/2024 750 LV 50% 45% 5%
SurveyUSA 11/01/2024 632 LV ±5.5% 50% 44% 6%
Research & Polling Inc. 10/21/2024 1,024 LV ±3.1% 50% 41% 9%
Redfield & Wilton 10/16/2024 382 LV ±4.4% 49% 45% 6%
SurveyUSA 9/24/2024 619 LV ±5.4% 50% 42% 8%
Research & Polling Inc. 9/15/2024 532 LV ±4.2% 49% 39% 12%
Redfield & Wilton 9/10/2024 521 LV ±3.9% 49% 44% 7%
Redfield & Wilton 8/30/2024 488 LV ±4% 47% 40% 13%
Emerson College 8/23/2024 965 RV ±3.1% 52% 42% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 8/19/2024 453 LV ±4.1% 47% 41% 12%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 49.5% 2.0% 3.0% - 1.0% 43.0% -
Research & Polling Inc. 10/21/2024 1,024 LV ±3.1% 50% - 3% - - 41% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 10/16/2024 382 LV ±4.4% 49% 2% - - 1% 45% 3%
Research & Polling Inc. 9/15/2024 532 LV ±4.2% 49% - 3% - - 39% 9%
Redfield & Wilton 9/10/2024 521 LV ±3.9% 49% 1% - - 1% 44% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 8/30/2024 488 LV ±4% 47% 0% - - 0% 40% 13%
Emerson College 8/23/2024 965 RV ±3.1% 51% 0% 3% 0% 0% 40% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 8/19/2024 453 LV ±4.1% 47% 0% 6% - 0% 41% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 8/06/2024 493 LV ±4.1% 44% 0% 8% - 0% 37% 11%

Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Public Policy 6/18/2024 555 RV ±4.2% 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy 8/28/2023 767 LV ±3.5% 49% 41% 10%

Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

No Polls Available

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
New Mexico Winner
Biden
Clinton
Bush
Ford
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Carter
2020
2016
2004
1976