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Ohio 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 6 Polls† 44.3% 52.0% -
Emerson College 11/04/2024 900 LV ±3.2% 42% 54% 4%
Morning Consult 11/03/2024 1,254 LV ±3% 44% 53% 3%
Trafalgar Group 10/29/2024 1,127 LV ±2.9% 46% 52% 2%
Bowling Green State U. 10/24/2024 1,000 LV ±3.6% 43% 50% 7%
Morning Consult 10/17/2024 1,243 LV ±3% 45% 52% 3%
Washington Post 10/10/2024 1,002 LV ±3.5% 45% 51% 4%
Marist Poll 10/10/2024 1,327 LV ±3.2% 46% 52% 2%
Bowling Green State U. 10/03/2024 1,000 LV ±3.6% 44% 51% 5%
NY Times / Siena College 9/28/2024 687 LV ±4.2% 44% 50% 6%
RMG Research 9/25/2024 781 LV ±3.5% 43% 54% 3%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
NY Times / Siena College 9/28/2024 687 LV ±4.2% 43% 2% - - 2% 49% 4%
AARP 8/01/2024 600 LV ±4% 39% 1% 9% - 1% 48% 2%

Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 43.5% 51.0% -
Marist Poll 6/11/2024 1,137 LV ±3.6% 41% 48% 11%
National Public Affairs 6/05/2024 801 LV ±3.5% 46% 54% 0%
FAU / Mainstreet 3/16/2024 705 LV 40% 51% 9%
East Carolina Univ. 3/15/2024 1,298 LV ±3.2% 38% 48% 14%
SurveyUSA 3/14/2024 1,241 RV ±3.3% 38% 50% 12%
Emerson College 3/13/2024 1,300 RV ±2.6% 41% 50% 9%
Emerson College 2/01/2024 1,844 RV ±2.3% 36% 47% 17%
Emerson College 11/16/2023 1,000 RV ±3% 38% 50% 12%
Data for Progress 11/10/2023 597 LV ±4% 43% 51% 6%
Ohio Northern Univ. 11/02/2023 668 RV ±3.8% 40% 45% 15%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 2 Polls† 40.5% 2.0% 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 48.0% -
Marist Poll 6/11/2024 1,137 LV ±3.6% 41% 1% 5% 0% 1% 48% 4%
National Public Affairs 6/05/2024 801 LV ±3.5% 40% 3% 7% 2% - 48% 0%
East Carolina Univ. 3/15/2024 1,298 LV ±3.2% 38% 1% 5% 1% - 48% 7%
SurveyUSA 3/14/2024 1,241 RV ±3.3% 32% - 13% - - 44% 11%
Emerson College 3/13/2024 1,300 RV ±2.6% 38% 1% 6% 1% - 47% 7%
Emerson College 11/16/2023 1,000 RV ±3% 31% 2% 8% 1% - 45% 13%
Ohio Northern Univ. 11/02/2023 668 RV ±3.8% 35% - 11% - - 42% 12%

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Ohio Winner
Trump
Trump
Obama
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Obama
2020
2016
2012
Never