Wisconsin 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Harris vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Harris Trump Other
Average of 17 Polls† 48.8% 47.7% -
FAU / Mainstreet 11/04/2024 786 LV 49% 48% 3%
Emerson College 11/04/2024 800 LV ±3.4% 49% 49% 2%
Research Co. 11/04/2024 450 LV ±4.6% 49% 46% 5%
InsiderAdvantage 11/03/2024 800 LV ±3.4% 48% 49% 3%
Trafalgar Group 11/03/2024 1,086 LV ±2.9% 48% 47% 5%
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 1,305 LV ±3.4% 49% 47% 4%
Morning Consult 11/03/2024 540 LV ±4% 48% 48% 4%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 728 LV ±4% 49% 50% 1%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 932 LV ±3% 48% 47% 5%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 867 LV ±4.5% 49% 45% 6%
Marist Poll 11/01/2024 1,330 LV ±3.4% 50% 48% 2%
AtlasIntel 10/31/2024 673 LV ±4% 49% 49% 2%
Echelon Insights 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.5% 49% 49% 2%
Marquette Law School 10/30/2024 753 LV ±4.4% 50% 49% 1%
CNN 10/30/2024 736 LV ±4.8% 51% 45% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 746 LV ±3.4% 49% 47% 4%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 1,470 LV ±3% 49% 49% 2%
InsiderAdvantage 10/29/2024 800 LV ±3.5% 48% 49% 3%
Suffolk University 10/28/2024 500 LV ±4.4% 47% 48% 5%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 557 LV ±3.9% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College 10/24/2024 800 LV ±3.4% 48% 49% 3%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 624 LV ±4% 48% 48% 4%
Quinnipiac 10/23/2024 1,108 LV ±2.9% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group 10/21/2024 1,083 LV ±2.9% 47% 47% 6%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 622 LV ±3.6% 47% 46% 7%
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Harris vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Harris Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 10 Polls† 48.0% 0.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.7% 46.6% -
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 1,305 LV ±3.4% 48% 1% 0% 0% 0% 45% 6%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 728 LV ±4% 48% 1% - - 0% 49% 2%
Redfield & Wilton 11/01/2024 932 LV ±3% 48% 0% - - 1% 47% 4%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 867 LV ±4.5% 49% 2% - 0% - 45% 4%
Echelon Insights 10/31/2024 600 LV ±4.5% 48% 1% 0% 0% 0% 48% 3%
Marquette Law School 10/30/2024 753 LV ±4.4% 46% 1% 5% 1% 2% 44% 1%
CNN 10/30/2024 736 LV ±4.8% 51% 1% 1% 0% 0% 45% 2%
Redfield & Wilton 10/29/2024 746 LV ±3.4% 49% 0% - - 1% 47% 3%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 1,470 LV ±3% 48% 1% - - 1% 49% 1%
Suffolk University 10/28/2024 500 LV ±4.4% 47% 1% 1% 0% 0% 48% 3%
Redfield & Wilton 10/25/2024 557 LV ±3.9% 49% 0% - - 1% 47% 3%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 10/23/2024 624 LV ±4% 47% 1% - - 3% 47% 2%
Quinnipiac 10/23/2024 1,108 LV ±2.9% 48% 0% - 0% 0% 48% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 622 LV ±3.6% 47% 0% - - 1% 46% 6%
AtlasIntel 10/19/2024 932 LV ±3% 49% 0% 1% - 1% 48% 1%
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Biden vs. Trump

Includes polls recorded through the president' withdrawal from the race on July 21, 2024.
Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 42.0% 45.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 470 LV ±4.1% 42% 42% 16%
Trafalgar Group 7/18/2024 1,087 LV ±2.9% 43% 46% 11%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 48% 9%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 900 RV ±4.1% 38% 43% 19%
North Star Opinion Research 7/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 44% 46% 10%
AARP 7/09/2024 600 LV ±4% 45% 50% 5%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 695 RV ±4% 47% 44% 9%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 44% 47% 9%
Marquette Law School 6/26/2024 784 LV ±4.9% 51% 49% 0%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 44% 47% 9%
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Biden vs. Trump

Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Oliver Trump Other
Average of 5 Polls† 40.4% 1.4% 5.6% 0.3% 0.8% 43.0% -
Redfield & Wilton 7/21/2024 470 LV ±4.1% 42% 1% 6% - 0% 42% 9%
Trafalgar Group 7/18/2024 1,087 LV ±2.9% 43% 1% 3% 0% 0% 46% 7%
Emerson College 7/18/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 43% 1% 4% 0% 1% 46% 5%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 7/15/2024 900 RV ±4.1% 38% 1% 4% 1% - 43% 13%
North Star Opinion Research 7/12/2024 600 LV ±4% 36% 3% 11% - 2% 38% 10%
AARP 7/09/2024 600 LV ±4% 38% 3% 9% - 1% 44% 5%
Bloomberg / Morning Consult 7/06/2024 695 RV ±4% 41% 1% 10% 1% 0% 39% 8%
Emerson College 7/02/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 40% 2% 6% 1% 1% 43% 7%
Marquette Law School 6/26/2024 784 LV ±4.9% 42% 2% 7% 3% 1% 44% 1%
Emerson College 6/20/2024 1,000 RV ±3% 42% 1% 6% 0% - 44% 7%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.

When did it last happen?

This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results.
Wisconsin Winner
Biden
Trump
Kerry
Nixon
Election Winner
Biden
Trump
Bush
Kennedy
2020
2016
2004
1960