2024 Polls: Arizona Senate

Gallego vs. Lake

Source Date Sample Gallego Lake Other
Average of 15 Polls† 49.5% 44.5% -
Trafalgar Group 11/04/2024 1,090 LV ±2.9% 49% 49% 2%
Victory Insights 11/04/2024 750 LV 50% 47% 3%
Emerson College 11/04/2024 900 LV ±3.2% 50% 45% 5%
InsiderAdvantage 11/03/2024 800 LV ±3% 49% 47% 4%
NY Times / Siena College 11/03/2024 1,025 LV ±3.4% 50% 45% 5%
Morning Consult 11/03/2024 666 LV ±4% 50% 42% 8%
AtlasIntel 11/02/2024 967 LV ±3% 47% 49% 4%
Data for Progress 11/01/2024 1,079 LV ±3% 50% 45% 5%
The Times (UK) / YouGov 11/01/2024 853 LV ±4.4% 49% 45% 6%
AtlasIntel 10/31/2024 1,005 LV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
Noble Predictive Insights 10/31/2024 775 LV ±3.5% 48% 44% 8%
RABA Research 10/30/2024 589 LV ±4% 49% 34% 17%
AtlasIntel 10/29/2024 1,458 LV ±3% 48% 48% 4%
Data Orbital 10/29/2024 550 LV ±4.3% 45% 45% 10%
CNN 10/29/2024 781 LV ±4.4% 51% 43% 6%
Trafalgar Group 10/27/2024 1,094 LV ±2.9% 50% 46% 4%
Marist Poll 10/24/2024 1,193 LV ±3.7% 53% 45% 2%
HighGround 10/22/2024 400 LV ±4.9% 52% 42% 6%
InsiderAdvantage 10/22/2024 800 LV ±3% 50% 46% 4%
Redfield & Wilton 10/21/2024 691 LV ±3.5% 48% 41% 11%
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†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.