Forecasts in the 2020 Consensus Electoral Map
The Consensus Electoral Map aggregates the ratings from the following to come up with a composite forecast for the 2020 presidential election.
Full-time Analysts
Statistical Models
Prediction Markets
Media Analysis
To arrive at the consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.
Only states rated safe by seven or more of the nine forecasts are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.