Forecasts in the 2020 Consensus Electoral Map

The Consensus Electoral Map aggregates the ratings from the following to come up with a composite forecast for the 2020 presidential election. 

Full-time Analysts

• Sabato's Crystal Ball
• The Cook Political Report
• Inside Elections

Statistical Models

• The Economist
• FiveThirtyEight

Prediction Markets

• PredictIt

Media Analysis

• Politico
• CNN
• U.S. News

To arrive at the consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.

Only states rated safe by seven or more of the nine forecasts are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.