Forecasts Used to Create the 2024 Consensus Maps
To create a consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.
Only states rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.
Forecasts within each section are listed in alphabetical order. All are weighted equally.
President
Click the link above for the 2024 Presidential Election Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the Presidential election forecasts page.
- 538
- Cook Political Report
- Elections Daily
- Fox News
- Inside Elections
- JHK Forecasts
- Kalshi
- Sabato's Crystal Ball
- Split Ticket
- US News
Senate
Click the link above for the 2024 Senate Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the Senate election forecasts page.
- Cook Political Report
- Elections Daily
- Fox News
- Inside Elections
- Sabato's Crystal Ball
- Split Ticket
- US News
House
Click the link above for the 2024 House Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the House election forecasts page.
- CNalysis
- Cook Political Report
- Elections Daily
- Fox News
- Inside Elections
- Sabato's Crystal Ball
- Split Ticket
Governor
Click the link above for the 2024 Governor Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the gubernatorial election forecasts page.
- Cook Political Report
- Elections Daily
- Fox News
- Inside Elections
- Sabato's Crystal Ball
- Split Ticket
- US News
