Forecasts Used to Create the 2026 Consensus Maps

To create a consensus map, we assign a party-specific point value to each rating category (safe, likely, leaning, tilt, toss-up). From there we calculate the average rating. Those average ratings determine the consensus rating, which may or may not be the most frequent one.

Only states rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of blue or red on the map. This allows for a more inclusive look at states that could be competitive in the right circumstances.

Forecasts within each section are listed in alphabetical order. All are weighted equally. 

Senate

Click the link above for the 2026 Senate Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the Senate election forecasts page.

• Cook Political Report
• Inside Elections
• RacetotheWH
• Sabato's Crystal Ball

House

Click the link above for the 2026 House Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the House election forecasts page.

• Cook Political Report
• Inside Elections

Governor

Click the link above for the 2026 Governor Consensus Map. To see individual forecasts, including the below and others, visit the gubernatorial election forecasts page.

• Cook Political Report
• Inside Elections
• Sabato's Crystal Ball