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2012 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2012 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2016 forecast.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
Only 4 states met this criteria in 2012, the fewest since Ronald Reagan's landslide win in the 1984 election. Tightly contested states have been on the decline in recent elections due to increased regional polarization.
The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Clinton forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
Democrats
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
Map :
Headlines
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
March 13, 2025
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
March 12, 2025
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
March 11, 2025
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
March 10, 2025
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
March 5, 2025
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
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