cnalysis 2024 Presidential Ratings
As of November 4, 2024
The final 2024 presidential forecast from CNalysis. The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Note that as a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Tilt R; Georgia and Michigan Toss-up to Likely D; NE-02 Likely to Safe D; Iowa Likely to Tilt R; Kansas Safe to Likely R; Maine and New Hampshire Likely to Safe D; Nevada and North Carolina Toss-up to Tilt D; Ohio Safe to Likely R; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin Toss-up to Lean D; Texas Likely to Lean R.
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Headlines
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family
Overview and Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is fighting an uphill battle to win a second term in this rematch from the 2021 election
House Updates: James Running for MI Gov.; Abbott Calls TX Special Election
The Michigan Republican looks to succeed Whitmer, while the special election will (eventually) fill a House vacancy
House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat
The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
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