2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of November 4, 2024
This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.
Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican.
To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >
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Headlines
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family
Overview and Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is fighting an uphill battle to win a second term in this rematch from the 2021 election
House Updates: James Running for MI Gov.; Abbott Calls TX Special Election
The Michigan Republican looks to succeed Whitmer, while the special election will (eventually) fill a House vacancy
House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat
The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
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