2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map

As of November 4, 2024

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters

Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. 

As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican.

To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
no 2024 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Cook Political Report Releases Initial 2026 House Ratings

February 7, 2025

The midterm election is shaping up to be another closely-contested battle for control of the chamber

Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries

January 28, 2025

The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1

Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters Won't Seek Reelection in 2026

January 28, 2025

He is completing his second term. He chaired the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the past two cycles

Cook Political Report Introduces 2026 Governor Ratings

January 24, 2025

36 states will hold elections next year; the forecaster sees five toss-ups with their initial ratings

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 113 Special Primary

January 21, 2025

Three Democrats are vying to replace former Rep. Marvin Pendarvis, who resigned this past September.