Newsom Gains Momentum as Recall Election Nears

California Gov. Gavin Newsom appears to be gaining momentum heading into Tuesday's recall election. In a UC Berkeley poll released Friday, likely voters oppose recall by 60% to 38.5%. Newsom has been steadily gaining support since mid-August, when the keep/recall vote was nearly tied. Keep has led remove by double-digits in every poll released this month; the fivethirtyeight average is 56% to 41%.

In addition to the recall question, the ballot includes 46 candidates to take Newsom's spot should he be recalled. The UC Berkeley poll found conservative radio host Larry Elder well ahead of the field, with 38% support. However, the actual result for of this vote is moot should Newsom not be recalled.

Voting has been underway for several weeks, as all registered voters in the state were sent a ballot by mail. In-person early voting began September 4. On Election Day, polls close at 8:00 PM Pacific Time (11:00 PM Eastern). Visit 270toWin Tuesday night for live results.

Background on the recall election >>

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70

In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee

Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Primary; Oklahoma Special Election

Mayor Tishaura Jones is seeking a second term in the first regularly scheduled election of 2025

Rep. Byron Donalds Running for Florida Governor in 2026

He'll look to succeed fellow Republican Ron DeSantis, who is ineligible to run due to term limit laws

Overview and Live Results: February 25 Legislative Special Elections

Voters in Connecticut and Maine will fill vacancies, while the California contests may require a top-two election in April

Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell to Retire at End of Term

Currently second in seniority to Chuck Grassley, the 83 year old Republican will not seek an 8th term