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UPCOMING

U.S. News Governor Ratings by Louis Jacobson

As of October 29, 2020

The final 2020 gubernatorial race analysis and forecast from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News & World Report. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2020.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 gubernatorial forecast.

October 29: Montana moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican

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no 2020 election
no 2020 election

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up

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Governor Elections
Current 24 26
Consensus Forecast 23 26 1
Forecast

Forecast: Totals on interactive map

Upcoming Elections

2020 2021 2022^ 2023
4 2 16 2
7 0 18 1

^Excludes NH & VT: Next election is 2020 (two-year terms)

State Incumbent Party Since Term Consensus
MO Mike Parson
2018 1st
Nicole Galloway
Mike Parson*
MT Steve Bullock
2013 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2020 due to term limits.
Mike Cooney
Greg Gianforte
NC Roy Cooper
2017 1st
Roy Cooper*
Dan Forest
NH Chris Sununu
2017 2nd
Dan Feltes
Chris Sununu*
WV Jim Justice
2017 1st
Ben Salango
Jim Justice*
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AK Mike Dunleavy
2018 1st
AL Kay Ivey
2017 2nd
AR Asa Hutchinson
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
AZ Doug Ducey
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
CA Gavin Newsom
2019 1st
CO Jared Polis
2019 1st
CT Ned Lamont
2019 1st
DE John Carney
2017 1st
John Carney*
Julianne Murray
FL Ron DeSantis
2019 1st
GA Brian Kemp
2019 1st
HI David Ige
2014 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
IA Kim Reynolds
2017 2nd
ID Brad Little
2019 1st
IL J.B. Pritzker
2019 1st
IN Eric Holcomb
2017 1st
Woodrow Myers
Eric Holcomb*
Donald Rainwater
KS Laura Kelly
2019 1st
KY Andy Beshear
2019 1st
LA John Bel Edwards
2016 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2023 due to term limits.
MA Charlie Baker
2015 2nd
MD Larry Hogan
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
ME Janet Mills
2019 1st
MI Gretchen Whitmer
2019 1st
MN Tim Walz
2019 1st
MS Tate Reeves
2020 1st
ND Doug Burgum
2016 1st
Shelley Lenz
Doug Burgum*
NE Pete Ricketts
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
NJ Phil Murphy
2018 1st
NM Michelle Lujan Grisham
2019 1st
NV Stephen Sisolak
2019 1st
NY Andrew Cuomo
2011 3rd
OH Mike DeWine
2019 1st
OK Kevin Stitt
2019 1st
OR Kate Brown
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
PA Tom Wolf
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
RI Gina Raimondo
2015 2nd
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2022 due to term limits.
SC Henry McMaster
2017 2nd
SD Kristi Noem
2019 1st
TN Bill Lee
2019 1st
TX Greg Abbott
2015 2nd
UT Gary Herbert
2009 3rd
Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020.
Chris Peterson
Spencer Cox
VA Ralph Northam
2018 1st
Incumbent cannot run for re-election in 2021 due to term limits.
VT Phil Scott
2017 2nd
David Zuckerman
Phil Scott*
WA Jay Inslee
2013 2nd
Jay Inslee*
Loren Culp
WI Tony Evers
2019 1st
WY Mark Gordon
2019 1st