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Niskanen Center House Forecast

As of July 26, 2020

The current 2020 House forecast from Rachel Bitecofer of the Niskanen Center. Read the full analysis here.

Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 House forecast.

July 26: AZ-6 moves from Leans Republican to Toss-up; FL-18 from Safe Republican to Toss-up; IL-13, MN-7 from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.

Current House 116^th Congress

Interactive Map Contested 2020

2021 House 117^th Congress

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House Elections 2020


Current	233	197	1	4*
Consensus Forecast	232	182	0	21
Forecast

Forecast: Totals on interactive map
* Vacant Seat(s)

Most Competitive 2020 House Races
Show 2020 Candidates

District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Predictions		Margin of Victory
District	Incumbent	Party	Since	Term	Consensus	Map	House^(a)	President^(b)
Filtered list below matches districts currently visible in map window.
AK-AL	Don Young		1973	24th			6.5%	15.2%
AK-AL	Alyse Galvin Don Young*
AR-2	French Hill		2015	3rd			6.3%	10.7%
AR-2	Joyce Elliott French Hill*
AZ-1	Tom O'Halleran		2017	2nd			7.6%	1.1%
AZ-1	Tom O'Halleran* Tiffany Shedd
AZ-6	David Schweikert		2011	5th			10.3%	10.0%
AZ-6	Hiral Tipirneni David Schweikert*
CA-1	Doug LaMalfa		2013	4th			9.7%	19.7%
CA-1	Audrey Denney Doug LaMalfa*
CA-4	Tom McClintock		2009	6th			8.3%	14.7%
CA-4	Brynne Kennedy Tom McClintock*
CA-10	Josh Harder		2019	1st			4.4%	3.0%
CA-10	Josh Harder* Ted Howze
CA-21	TJ Cox		2019	1st			0.5%	15.5%
CA-21	TJ Cox* David Valadao
CA-22	Devin Nunes		2003	9th			5.5%	9.5%
CA-22	Phil Arballo Devin Nunes*
CA-25	Mike Garcia		2020	1st			8.7%	6.7%
CA-25	Christy Smith Mike Garcia*
CA-39	Gil Cisneros		2019	1st			3.1%	8.6%
CA-39	Gil Cisneros* Young Kim
CA-42	Ken Calvert		1993	14th			13.8%	12.0%
CA-42	William O'Mara Ken Calvert*
CA-45	Katie Porter		2019	1st			4.1%	5.4%
CA-45	Katie Porter* Greg Raths
CA-48	Harley Rouda		2019	1st			7.1%	1.7%
CA-48	Harley Rouda* Michelle Steel
CA-50	OPEN						3.5%	15.0%
CA-50	Ammar Campa-Najjar Darrell Issa
CO-3	Scott Tipton		2011	5th			7.9%	12.0%
CO-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Diane Bush Lauren Boebert
FL-15	Ross Spano		2019	1st			6.0%	10.0%
FL-15	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Alan Cohn Scott Franklin
FL-16	Vern Buchanan		2007	7th			9.1%	10.7%
FL-16	Margaret Good Vern Buchanan*
FL-18	Brian Mast		2017	2nd			8.6%	9.2%
FL-18	Pam Keith Brian Mast*
FL-26	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell		2019	1st			1.7%	16.3%
FL-26	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell* Carlos Gimenez
FL-27	Donna Shalala		2019	1st			5.9%	19.6%
FL-27	Donna Shalala* Maria Salazar
GA-6	Lucy McBath		2019	1st			1.0%	1.5%
GA-6	Lucy McBath* Karen Handel
GA-7	Rob Woodall		2011	5th			0.1%	6.3%
GA-7	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Carolyn Bourdeaux Rich McCormick
IA-1	Abby Finkenauer		2019	1st			5.0%	3.5%
IA-1	Abby Finkenauer* Ashley Hinson
IA-2	David Loebsack		2007	7th			12.1%	4.1%
IA-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Rita Hart Mariannette Miller-Meeks
IA-3	Cindy Axne		2019	1st			2.1%	3.5%
IA-3	Cindy Axne* David Young
IL-6	Sean Casten		2019	1st			7.1%	7.0%
IL-6	Sean Casten* Jeanne Ives
IL-13	Rodney Davis		2013	4th			1.1%	5.5%
IL-13	Betsy Londrigan Rodney Davis*
IL-14	Lauren Underwood		2019	1st			4.9%	3.9%
IL-14	Lauren Underwood* Jim Oberweis
IL-17	Cheri Bustos		2013	4th			23.5%	0.6%
IL-17	Cheri Bustos* Esther King
IN-5	Susan Brooks		2013	4th			13.5%	11.8%
IN-5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Christina Hale Victoria Spartz
KS-2	Steve Watkins		2019	1st			0.8%	18.4%
KS-2	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Michelle De La Isla Jake LaTurner
KY-6	Andy Barr		2013	4th			3.2%	15.3%
KY-6	Josh Hicks Andy Barr*
ME-2	Jared Golden		2019	1st			1.0%	10.3%
ME-2	Jared Golden* Dale Crafts
MI-3	Justin Amash		2011	5th			11.2%	9.4%
MI-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Hillary Scholten Peter Meijer
MI-6	Fred Upton		1987	17th			4.5%	8.4%
MI-6	Jon Hoadley Fred Upton*
MI-7	Tim Walberg		2011	5th			7.5%	17.0%
MI-7	Gretchen Driskell Tim Walberg*
MI-8	Elissa Slotkin		2019	1st			3.8%	6.7%
MI-8	Elissa Slotkin* Paul Junge
MI-11	Haley Stevens		2019	1st			6.6%	4.4%
MI-11	Haley Stevens* Eric Esshaki
MN-1	Jim Hagedorn		2019	1st			0.4%	14.9%
MN-1	Dan Feehan Jim Hagedorn*
MN-2	Angela Craig		2019	1st			5.5%	1.2%
MN-2	Angie Craig* Tyler Kistner
MN-7	Collin Peterson		1991	15th			4.2%	30.8%
MN-7	Collin Peterson* Michelle Fischbach
MN-8	Pete Stauber		2019	1st			5.5%	15.6%
MN-8	Quinn Nystrom Pete Stauber*
MO-2	Ann Wagner		2013	4th			3.9%	10.3%
MO-2	Jill Schupp Ann Wagner*
MT-AL	Greg Gianforte		2017	2nd			4.6%	20.6%
MT-AL	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Kathleen Williams Matt Rosendale
NC-1	G. K. Butterfield		2004	9th			N/A	11.1%
NC-1	G. K. Butterfield* Sandy Smith
NC-2	George Holding		2013	4th			N/A	24.4%
NC-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Deborah Ross Alan Swain
NC-6	Mark Walker		2015	3rd			N/A	21.5%
NC-6	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Kathy Manning Lee Haywood
NC-8	Richard Hudson		2013	4th			N/A	9.1%
NC-8	Patricia Timmons-Goodson Richard Hudson*
NC-9	Dan Bishop		2019	1st			N/A	10.4%
NC-9	Cynthia Wallace Dan Bishop*
NC-11	OPEN						N/A	17.3%
NC-11	Moe Davis Madison Cawthorn
NE-2	Don Bacon		2017	2nd			1.9%	2.2%
NE-2	Kara Eastman Don Bacon*
NH-1	Chris Pappas		2019	1st			8.5%	1.6%
NH-1	Chris Pappas* Matt Mowers
NH-2	Ann Kuster		2013	4th			12.7%	2.4%
NH-2	Ann McLane Kuster* Steve Negron
NJ-2	Jeff Van Drew		2019	1st			7.6%	4.6%
NJ-2	Amy Kennedy Jeff Van Drew*
NJ-3	Andy Kim		2019	1st			1.2%	6.2%
NJ-3	Andy Kim* David Richter
NJ-7	Tom Malinowski		2019	1st			5.0%	1.1%
NJ-7	Tom Malinowski* Thomas Kean, Jr
NM-2	Xochitl Torres Small		2019	1st			1.8%	10.2%
NM-2	Xochitl Torres Small* Yvette Herrell
NV-3	Susie Lee		2019	1st			9.0%	1.0%
NV-3	Susie Lee* Daniel Rodimer
NV-4	Steven Horsford		2019	1st			8.1%	4.9%
NV-4	Steven Horsford* James Marchant Jr
NY-1	Lee Zeldin		2015	3rd			6.0%	12.3%
NY-1	Nancy Goroff Lee M. Zeldin*
NY-2	Peter King		1993	14th			6.7%	9.1%
NY-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Jackie Gordon Andrew Garbarino
NY-11	Max Rose		2019	1st			5.9%	9.8%
NY-11	Max Rose* Nicole Malliotakis
NY-18	Sean P. Maloney		2013	4th			10.1%	1.9%
NY-18	Sean Patrick Maloney* Chele Farley
NY-19	Antonio Delgado		2019	1st			2.8%	6.8%
NY-19	Antonio Delgado* Kyle Water
NY-22	Anthony Brindisi		2019	1st			1.2%	15.5%
NY-22	Anthony Brindisi* Claudia Tenney
NY-24	John Katko		2015	3rd			6.2%	3.6%
NY-24	Dana Balter John M Katko*
NY-27	Chris Jacobs		2020	1st			0.5%	24.5%
NY-27	Nathan McMurray Chris Jacobs*
OH-1	Steve Chabot		2011	5th			4.2%	6.6%
OH-1	Kate Schroder Steve Chabot*
OH-10	Michael Turner		2003	9th			13.7%	7.3%
OH-10	Desiree Tims Mike Turner*
OH-12	Troy Balderson		2018	2nd			4.1%	11.3%
OH-12	Alaina Shearer Troy Balderson*
OK-5	Kendra Horn		2019	1st			1.3%	13.4%
OK-5	Kendra Horn* Stephanie Bice
OR-4	Peter DeFazio		1987	17th			15.0%	0.1%
OR-4	Peter DeFazio* Alek Skarlatos
PA-1	Brian Fitzpatrick		2017	2nd			2.5%	2.0%
PA-1	Christina Finello Brian Fitzpatrick*
PA-7	Susan Wild		2018	2nd			10.0%	1.1%
PA-7	Susan Wild* Lisa Scheller
PA-8	Matthew Cartwright		2013	4th			9.2%	9.5%
PA-8	Matt Cartwright* James Bognet
PA-10	Scott Perry		2013	4th			2.6%	8.9%
PA-10	Eugenio DePasquale Scott Perry*
PA-16	Mike Kelly		2011	5th			4.2%	19.9%
PA-16	Kristy Gnibus George Kelly*
PA-17	Conor Lamb		2018	2nd			12.5%	2.5%
PA-17	Conor Lamb* Sean Parnell
SC-1	Joe Cunningham		2019	1st			1.3%	13.1%
SC-1	Joe Cunningham* Nancy Mace
SC-2	Joe Wilson		2001	10th			13.7%	17.7%
SC-2	Adair Boroughs Joe Wilson*
TX-2	Daniel Crenshaw		2019	1st			7.2%	9.3%
TX-2	Sima Ladjevardian Dan Crenshaw*
TX-3	Van Taylor		2019	1st			10.0%	14.2%
TX-3	Lulu Seikaly Van Taylor*
TX-6	Ron Wright		2019	1st			7.7%	12.3%
TX-6	Stephen Daniel Ron Wright*
TX-7	Lizzie Fletcher		2019	1st			5.0%	1.4%
TX-7	Lizzie Pannill Fletcher* Wesley Hunt
TX-10	Michael McCaul		2005	8th			3.9%	9.0%
TX-10	Mike Siegel Michael McCaul*
TX-21	Chip Roy		2019	1st			2.8%	10.0%
TX-21	Wendy Davis Chip Roy*
TX-22	Pete Olson		2009	6th			4.9%	7.9%
TX-22	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Sri Preston Kulkarni Troy Nehls
TX-23	Will Hurd		2015	3rd			0.4%	3.4%
TX-23	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Gina Jones Tony Gonzales
TX-24	Kenny Marchant		2005	8th			3.2%	6.2%
TX-24	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Candace Valenzuela Beth Duyne
TX-25	Roger Williams		2013	4th			8.9%	14.9%
TX-25	Julie Oliver Roger Williams*
TX-31	John Carter		2003	9th			2.9%	12.7%
TX-31	Donna Imam John Carter*
TX-32	Colin Allred		2019	1st			6.3%	1.9%
TX-32	Colin Allred* Genevieve Collins
UT-4	Ben McAdams		2019	1st			0.2%	6.7%
UT-4	Ben McAdams* Burgess Owens
VA-1	Robert Wittman		2007	7th			10.4%	12.4%
VA-1	Qasim Rashid Robert Wittman*
VA-2	Elaine Luria		2019	1st			2.2%	3.4%
VA-2	Elaine Luria* Scott Taylor
VA-5	Denver Riggleman		2019	1st			6.5%	11.1%
VA-5	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Cameron Webb Bob Good
VA-7	Abigail Spanberger		2019	1st			1.9%	6.5%
VA-7	Abigail Spanberger* Nick Freitas
WA-3	Jaime Herrera Beutler		2011	5th			5.3%	7.4%
WA-3	Carolyn Long Jaime Herrera Beutler*
WA-8	Kim Schrier		2019	1st			4.8%	3.0%
WA-8	Kim Schrier* Jesse Jensen
WI-3	Ron Kind		1997	12th			19.3%	4.5%
WI-3	Ron Kind* Derrick Van Orden
The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party.
AL-1	Bradley Byrne		2014	4th			26.3%	29.4%
AL-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. James Averhart Jerry Carl
AL-2	Martha Roby		2011	5th			22.9%	31.9%
AL-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Phyllis Harvey-Hall Barry Moore
AL-3	Mike Rogers		2003	9th			27.4%	33.0%
AL-3	Adia Winfrey Mike Rogers*
AL-4	Robert Aderholt		1997	12th			59.6%	63.0%
AL-4	Rick Neighbors Robert Aderholt*
AL-5	Mo Brooks		2011	5th			22.1%	33.4%
AL-5	Incumbent is unopposed
AL-6	Gary Palmer		2015	3rd			38.4%	44.7%
AL-6	Gary Palmer* Keynen Pellegrino
AL-7	Terri Sewell		2011	5th			*	41.2%
AL-7	Incumbent is unopposed
AR-1	Rick Crawford		2011	5th			40.1%	34.8%
AR-1	Incumbent is unopposed
AR-3	Steve Womack		2011	5th			32.1%	31.4%
AR-3	Celeste Williams Steve Womack*
AR-4	Bruce Westerman		2015	3rd			35.5%	32.9%
AR-4	William Hanson Bruce Westerman*
AZ-2	Ann Kirkpatrick		2019	1st			9.4%	4.9%
AZ-2	Ann Kirkpatrick* Brandon Martin
AZ-3	Raul Grijalva		2003	9th			27.7%	29.9%
AZ-3	Raul Grijalva* Daniel Wood
AZ-4	Paul Gosar		2011	5th			37.6%	40.2%
AZ-4	Delina Disanto Paul Gosar*
AZ-5	Andy Biggs		2017	2nd			18.8%	21.1%
AZ-5	Joan Greene Andy Biggs*
AZ-7	Ruben Gallego		2015	3rd			85.8%	49.2%
AZ-7	Ruben Gallego* Joshua Barnett
AZ-8	Debbie Lesko		2018	2nd			10.9%	21.1%
AZ-8	Michael Muscato Debbie Lesko*
AZ-9	Greg Stanton		2019	1st			22.1%	16.3%
AZ-9	Greg Stanton* Dave Giles
CA-2	Jared Huffman		2013	4th			53.4%	45.7%
CA-2	Jared Huffman* Dale Mensing
CA-3	John Garamendi		2009	6th			16.0%	12.6%
CA-3	John Garamendi* Tamika Hamilton
CA-5	Mike Thompson		1999	11th			78.3%	44.9%
CA-5	Mike Thompson* Scott Giblin
CA-6	Doris Matsui		2005	8th			61.2% ^	44.8%
CA-6	Doris Matsui* Chris Bish
CA-7	Ami Bera		2013	4th			10.0%	11.4%
CA-7	Ami Bera Buzz Patterson
CA-8	Paul Cook		2013	4th			20.2% ^	15.1%
CA-8	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Christine Bubser Jay Obernolte
CA-9	Jerry McNerney		2007	7th			12.8%	18.6%
CA-9	Jerry McNerney* Antonio Amador
CA-11	Mark DeSaulnier		2015	3rd			48.2%	48.8%
CA-11	Mark DeSaulnier* Nisha Sharma
CA-12	Nancy Pelosi		1987	17th			73.6%	77.5%
CA-12	Shahid Buttar Nancy Pelosi*
CA-13	Barbara Lee		1998	12th			88.3%	80.6%
CA-13	Barbara Lee* Nikka Piterman
CA-14	Jackie Speier		2008	7th			58.4%	58.7%
CA-14	Jackie Speier* Ran Petel
CA-15	Eric Swalwell		2013	4th			45.9%	45.7%
CA-15	Eric Swalwell* Alison Hayden
CA-16	Jim Costa		2013	4th			14.9%	21.6%
CA-16	Jim Costa* Kevin Cookingham
CA-17	Ro Khanna		2017	2nd			50.6%	53.4%
CA-17	Ro Khanna* Ritesh Tandon
CA-18	Anna Eshoo		1993	14th			48.9%	53.2%
CA-18	Anna Eshoo* Rishi Kumar
CA-19	Zoe Lofgren		1995	13th			47.4%	51.4%
CA-19	Zoe Lofgren* Justin Aguilera
CA-20	Jimmy Panetta		2017	2nd			81.2%	47.2%
CA-20	Jimmy Panetta* Jeff Gorman
CA-23	Kevin McCarthy		2007	7th			27.5%	22.0%
CA-23	Kim Mangone Kevin McCarthy*
CA-24	Salud Carbajal		2017	2nd			16.1%	20.2%
CA-24	Salud Carbajal* Andy Caldwell
CA-26	Julia Brownley		2013	4th			23.5%	21.9%
CA-26	Julia Brownley* Ronda Baldwin-Kennedy
CA-27	Judy Chu		2009	6th			58.6% ^	37.6%
CA-27	Judy Chu* Johnny Nalbandian
CA-28	Adam Schiff		2001	10th			56.7%	49.8%
CA-28	Adam Schiff* Eric Early
CA-29	Tony Cardenas		2013	4th			61.2%	60.9%
CA-29	Tony Cardenas* Angelica Duenas
CA-30	Brad Sherman		1997	12th			46.8%	43.4%
CA-30	Brad Sherman* Mark Reed
CA-31	Pete Aguilar		2015	3rd			17.2%	21.1%
CA-31	Pete Aguilar* Agnes Gibboney
CA-32	Grace Napolitano		1999	11th			37.5%	38.9%
CA-32	Grace Napolitano* Joshua Scott
CA-33	Ted Lieu		2015	3rd			40.0%	41.3%
CA-33	Ted Lieu* James Bradley
CA-34	Jimmy Gomez		2017	2nd			72.5%	72.9%
CA-34	Jimmy Gomez* David Kim
CA-35	Norma Torres		2015	3rd			38.7%	40.8%
CA-35	Norma Torres* Mike Cargile
CA-36	Raul Ruiz		2013	4th			17.1%	8.8%
CA-36	Raul Ruiz* Erin Cruz
CA-37	Karen Bass		2011	5th			78.1%	76.1%
CA-37	Karen Bass* Errol Webber
CA-38	Linda Sanchez		2003	9th			37.7%	39.6%
CA-38	Linda Sanchez* Michael Tolar
CA-40	Lucille Roybal-Allard		1993	14th			77.3%	69.4%
CA-40	Lucille Roybal-Allard* C Antonio Delgado
CA-41	Mark Takano		2013	4th			28.6%	27.9%
CA-41	Mark Takano* Aja Smith
CA-43	Maxine Waters		1991	15th			55.3%	61.7%
CA-43	Maxine Waters* Joe Collins III
CA-44	Nanette Barragan		2017	2nd			37.0% ^	70.7%
CA-44	Nanette Barragan* Analilia Joya
CA-46	Lou Correa		2017	2nd			38.2%	38.4%
CA-46	Lou Correa* James Waters
CA-47	Alan Lowenthal		2013	4th			29.7%	31.6%
CA-47	Alan Lowenthal* John Briscoe
CA-49	Mike Levin		2019	1st			12.7%	7.5%
CA-49	Mike Levin* Brian Maryott
CA-51	Juan Vargas		2013	4th			42.1%	49.0%
CA-51	Juan Vargas* Juan Hidalgo Jr
CA-52	Scott Peters		2013	4th			27.6%	22.5%
CA-52	Scott Peters* Jim DeBello
CA-53	Susan Davis		2001	10th			37.9%	34.9%
CA-53	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Georgette Gomez Sara Jacobs
CO-1	Diana DeGette		1997	12th			50.7%	45.8%
CO-1	Diana Degette* shane Bolling
CO-2	Joe Neguse		2019	1st			26.6%	21.3%
CO-2	Joe Neguse* Charlie Winn
CO-4	Ken Buck		2015	3rd			21.2%	23.1%
CO-4	Ike McCorkle Ken Buck*
CO-5	Doug Lamborn		2007	7th			17.7%	24.0%
CO-5	Jillian Freeland Doug Lamborn*
CO-6	Jason Crow		2019	1st			11.2%	8.9%
CO-6	Jason Crow* Steve House
CO-7	Ed Perlmutter		2007	7th			25.0%	12.0%
CO-7	Ed Perlmutter* Casper Stockham
CT-1	John Larson		1999	11th			28.8%	23.1%
CT-1	John B Larson* Mary Fay
CT-2	Joe Courtney		2007	7th			26.7%	2.9%
CT-2	Joe Courtney* Justin Anderson
CT-3	Rosa DeLauro		1991	15th			29.1%	15.5%
CT-3	Rosa L DeLauro* Margaret Streicker
CT-4	James Himes		2009	6th			22.4%	23.0%
CT-4	Jim Himes* Jonathan Riddle
CT-5	Jahana Hayes		2019	1st			11.7%	4.1%
CT-5	Jahana Hayes* David Sullivan
DE-AL	Lisa Rochester		2017	2nd			28.9%	11.5%
DE-AL	Lisa Blunt Rochester* Lee Murphy
FL-1	Matt Gaetz		2017	2nd			34.1%	39.3%
FL-1	Phil Ehr Matt Gaetz*
FL-2	Neal Dunn		2017	2nd			34.8%	35.6%
FL-2	Incumbent is unopposed
FL-3	Ted Yoho		2013	4th			15.2%	16.0%
FL-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Adam Christensen Kat Cammack
FL-4	John Rutherford		2017	2nd			32.8%	28.0%
FL-4	Donna Deegan John Rutherford*
FL-5	Al Lawson		2017	2nd			33.5%	25.4%
FL-5	Al Lawson* Gary Adler
FL-6	Michael Waltz		2019	1st			12.6%	17.0%
FL-6	Clint Curtis Michael Waltz*
FL-7	Stephanie Murphy		2017	2nd			15.3%	7.3%
FL-7	Stephanie Murphy* Leo Valentin
FL-8	Bill Posey		2009	6th			20.9%	20.7%
FL-8	Jim Kennedy Bill Posey*
FL-9	Darren Soto		2017	2nd			16.0%	12.9%
FL-9	Darren Soto* Bill Olson
FL-10	Val Demings		2017	2nd			*	26.9%
FL-10	Val Demings* Vennia Francois
FL-11	Dan Webster		2017	2nd			30.2%	32.3%
FL-11	Dana Cottrell Daniel Webster*
FL-12	Gus Bilirakis		2007	7th			18.4%	18.6%
FL-12	Kim Walker Gus M Bilirakis*
FL-13	Charlie Crist		2017	2nd			15.2%	3.2%
FL-13	Charlie Crist* Anna Luna
FL-14	Kathy Castor		2007	7th			*	18.2%
FL-14	Kathy Castor* Christine Quinn
FL-17	Greg Steube		2019	1st			24.5%	27.2%
FL-17	Allen Ellison Greg Steube*
FL-19	Francis Rooney		2017	2nd			24.5%	22.1%
FL-19	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Cindy Banyai Byron Donalds
FL-20	Alcee Hastings		1993	14th			*	62.1%
FL-20	Alcee Hastings* Greg Musselwhite
FL-21	Lois Frankel		2013	4th			*	15.8%
FL-21	Lois Frankel* Laura Loomer
FL-22	Ted Deutch		2010	6th			24.0%	19.5%
FL-22	Ted Deutch* Jim Pruden
FL-23	Debbie Wasserman Schultz		2005	8th			22.4%	26.1%
FL-23	Debbie Wasserman Schultz* Carla Spalding
FL-24	Frederica Wilson		2011	5th			*	67.5%
FL-24	Frederica Wilson* Lavern Spicer
FL-25	Mario Diaz-Balart		2003	9th			20.9%	1.8%
FL-25	Incumbent is unopposed
GA-1	Buddy Carter		2015	3rd			15.4%	15.5%
GA-1	Joyce Griggs Earl "Buddy" Carter*
GA-2	Sanford D. Jr. Bishop		1993	14th			19.2%	11.7%
GA-2	Sanford Bishop* Don Cole
GA-3	Drew Ferguson		2017	2nd			31.0%	31.5%
GA-3	Val Almonord Drew Ferguson*
GA-4	Hank Johnson		2007	7th			57.6%	53.1%
GA-4	Hank Johnson* Johsie Ezammudeen
GA-5	Kwanza Hall		2020	1st			*	73.1%
GA-5	Nikema Williams Angela Stanton-King
GA-8	Austin Scott		2011	5th			*	28.9%
GA-8	Lindsay Holliday Austin Scott*
GA-9	Doug Collins		2013	4th			59.0%	58.5%
GA-9	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Devin Pandy Andrew Clyde
GA-10	Jody Hice		2015	3rd			25.7%	25.5%
GA-10	Tabitha Johnson-Green Jody Hice*
GA-11	Barry Loudermilk		2015	3rd			23.5%	25.0%
GA-11	Dana Barrett Barry Loudermilk*
GA-12	Rick Allen		2015	3rd			18.9%	16.2%
GA-12	Liz Johnson Rick Allen*
GA-13	David Scott		2003	9th			52.3%	44.4%
GA-13	David Scott* Becky Hites
GA-14	OPEN						53.0%	52.9%
GA-14	Kevin Van Ausdal Marjorie Greene
HI-1	Ed Case		2019	1st			50.0%	32.6%
HI-1	Ed Case* Ron Curtis
HI-2	Tulsi Gabbard		2013	4th			54.7%	31.8%
HI-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Kai Kahele* Joesph Akana
IA-4	Steve King		2003	9th			3.3%	27.4%
IA-4	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. J.D. Scholten Randy Feenstra
ID-1	Russ Fulcher		2019	1st			31.8%	38.3%
ID-1	Rudy Soto Russ Fulcher*
ID-2	Michael Simpson		1999	11th			21.3%	24.7%
ID-2	C. Aaron Swisher Mike Simpson*
IL-1	Bobby Rush		1993	14th			53.8%	54.0%
IL-1	Bobby Rush* Philanise White
IL-2	Robin Kelly		2013	4th			62.0%	58.9%
IL-2	Robin Kelly* Theresa Raborn
IL-3	Daniel Lipinski		2005	8th			47.4%	15.3%
IL-3	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Marie Newman Mike Fricilone
IL-4	Jesus Garcia		2019	1st			73.1%	68.9%
IL-4	Jesus "Chuy" Garcia* Christopher Lasky
IL-5	Mike Quigley		2009	6th			53.3%	46.6%
IL-5	Mike Quigley* Tom Hanson
IL-7	Danny Davis		1997	12th			75.2%	78.2%
IL-7	Danny Davis* Craig Cameron
IL-8	Raja Krishnamoorthi		2017	2nd			31.9%	21.7%
IL-8	Raja Krishnamoorthi* Preston Nelson
IL-9	Janice Schakowsky		1999	11th			46.9%	45.2%
IL-9	Janice Schakowsky* Sargis Sangari
IL-10	Brad Schneider		2017	2nd			31.1%	29.4%
IL-10	Brad Schneider* Valerie Mukherjee
IL-11	Bill Foster		2013	4th			27.6%	23.5%
IL-11	Bill Foster* Rick Laib
IL-12	Mike Bost		2015	3rd			6.5%	14.8%
IL-12	Raymond Lenzi Michael Bost*
IL-15	John Shimkus		1997	12th			43.9%	46.2%
IL-15	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Erika Weaver Mary Miller
IL-16	Adam Kinzinger		2011	5th			19.3%	17.2%
IL-16	Dani Brzozowski Adam Kinzinger*
IL-18	Darin LaHood		2015	3rd			34.9%	27.3%
IL-18	George Petrilli Darin Lahood*
IN-1	Peter Visclosky		1985	18th			30.1%	12.6%
IN-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Frank Mrvan Mark Leyva
IN-2	Jackie Walorski		2013	4th			9.6%	23.2%
IN-2	Pat Hackett Jackie Walorski*
IN-3	Jim Banks		2017	2nd			29.4%	35.0%
IN-3	Chip Coldiron Jim Banks*
IN-4	Jim Baird		2019	1st			28.1%	34.1%
IN-4	Joe Mackey Jim Baird*
IN-6	Greg Pence		2019	1st			30.9%	40.3%
IN-6	Jeannine Lake Greg Pence*
IN-7	Andre Carson		2008	7th			29.6%	22.8%
IN-7	Andre Carson* Susan Smith
IN-8	Larry Bucshon		2011	5th			28.8%	33.7%
IN-8	E. Thomasina Marsili Larry Bucshon*
IN-9	Trey Hollingsworth		2017	2nd			12.9%	26.9%
IN-9	Andy Ruff Trey Hollingsworth*
KS-1	Roger Marshall		2017	2nd			36.2%	45.0%
KS-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Kali Barnett Tracey Mann
KS-3	Sharice Davids		2019	1st			9.6%	1.2%
KS-3	Sharice Davids* Amanda Adkins
KS-4	Ron Estes		2017	2nd			18.8%	27.2%
KS-4	Laura Lombard Ron Estes*
KY-1	James Comer		2016	3rd			37.1%	48.5%
KY-1	James Rhodes James Comer*
KY-2	Brett Guthrie		2009	6th			35.6%	39.9%
KY-2	Hank Linderman Brett Guthrie*
KY-3	John Yarmuth		2007	7th			25.4%	15.0%
KY-3	John A Yarmuth* Rhonda Palazzo
KY-4	Thomas Massie		2012	5th			27.6%	35.9%
KY-4	Alexandra Owensby Thomas Massie*
KY-5	Harold Rogers		1981	20th			57.8%	62.1%
KY-5	Matthew Best Harold "Hal" Rogers*
LA-1	Steve Scalise		2008	7th			55.1%	42.0%
LA-1	Lee Ann Dugas Steve Scalise*
LA-2	Cedric Richmond		2011	5th			71.9%	52.4%
LA-2	Cedric Richmond* David Schilling Sheldon Vincent
LA-3	Clay Higgins		2017	2nd			37.9%	38.1%
LA-3	Rob Anderson Braylon Harris Clay Higgins*
LA-4	Mike Johnson		2017	2nd			30.6%	24.0%
LA-4	Kenny Houston Mike Johnson*
LA-5	Ralph Abraham		2015	3rd			36.5%	29.4%
LA-5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Martin Lemelle Lance Harris Luke Letlow Scotty Robinson
LA-6	Garret Graves		2015	3rd			49.5%	33.8%
LA-6	Dartanyon Williams Garret Graves*
MA-1	Richard Neal		1989	16th			97.6%	20.7%
MA-1	Incumbent is unopposed
MA-2	James McGovern		1997	12th			34.3%	19.4%
MA-2	James P McGovern* Tracy Lovvorn
MA-3	Lori Trahan		2019	1st			28.5%	22.8%
MA-3	Incumbent is unopposed
MA-4	Joseph Kennedy III		2013	4th			*	24.2%
MA-4	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Jacob Auchincloss Julie Hall
MA-5	Katherine Clark		2013	4th			51.8%	43.6%
MA-5	Katherine Clark* Caroline Colarusso
MA-6	Seth Moulton		2015	3rd			33.8%	17.9%
MA-6	Seth Moulton* John Moran
MA-7	Ayanna Pressley		2019	1st			*	72.2%
MA-7	Ayanna Pressley* Roy Owens
MA-8	Stephen Lynch		2001	10th			*	26.0%
MA-8	Stephen Lynch* Jon Lott
MA-9	William Keating		2011	5th			18.7%	10.7%
MA-9	Bill Keating* Helen Brady
MD-1	Andrew Harris		2011	5th			21.8%	28.6%
MD-1	Mia Mason Andrew Harris*
MD-2	C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger		2003	9th			35.3%	24.4%
MD-2	C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger* Johnny Salling
MD-3	John Sarbanes		2007	7th			40.8%	30.5%
MD-3	John Sarbanes* Charles Anthony
MD-4	Anthony Brown		2017	2nd			58.2%	57.5%
MD-4	Anthony Brown* George McDermott
MD-5	Steny Hoyer		1981	20th			43.2%	32.0%
MD-5	Steny Hoyer* Chris Palombi
MD-6	David Trone		2019	1st			21.0%	15.1%
MD-6	David Trone* Neil Parrott
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume		2020	1st			55.1%	55.6%
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume* Kimberly Klacik
MD-8	Jamie Raskin		2017	2nd			37.9%	34.4%
MD-8	Jamie Raskin* Gregory Coll
ME-1	Chellie Pingree		2009	6th			26.3%	14.8%
ME-1	Chellie M Pingree* Jay Allen
MI-1	Jack Bergman		2017	2nd			12.6%	21.3%
MI-1	Dana Ferguson Jack Bergman*
MI-2	Bill Huizenga		2011	5th			12.3%	17.6%
MI-2	Bryan Berghoef Bill Huizenga*
MI-4	John Moolenaar		2015	3rd			25.2%	24.8%
MI-4	Jerry Hilliard John Moolenaar*
MI-5	Daniel Kildee		2013	4th			23.6%	4.2%
MI-5	Daniel T. Kildee* Tim Kelly
MI-9	Andy Levin		2019	1st			22.8%	7.8%
MI-9	Andy Levin* Charles Langworthy
MI-10	Paul Mitchell		2017	2nd			25.3%	32.2%
MI-10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Kimberly Bizon Lisa McClain
MI-12	Debbie Dingell		2015	3rd			39.1%	26.3%
MI-12	Debbie Dingell* Jeff Jones
MI-13	Rashida Tlaib		2019	1st			84.2%	60.7%
MI-13	Rashida Tlaib* David Dudenhoefer
MI-14	Brenda Lawrence		2015	3rd			63.5%	60.9%
MI-14	Brenda Lawrence* Robert Patrick
MN-3	Dean Phillips		2019	1st			11.4%	9.4%
MN-3	Dean Phillips* Kendall Qualls
MN-4	Betty McCollum		2001	10th			36.2%	30.9%
MN-4	Betty McCollum* Gene Rechtzigel
MN-5	Ilhan Omar		2019	1st			56.2%	55.2%
MN-5	Ilhan Omar* Lacy Johnson
MN-6	Tom Emmer		2015	3rd			22.3%	25.7%
MN-6	Tawnja Zahradka Tom Emmer*
MO-1	Lacy Clay		2001	10th			63.3%	58.2%
MO-1	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Cori Bush Anthony Rogers
MO-3	Blaine Luetkemeyer		2009	6th			32.2%	39.0%
MO-3	Megan Rezabek Blaine Luetkemeyer*
MO-4	Vicky Hartzler		2011	5th			31.9%	36.0%
MO-4	Lindsey Simmons Vicky Hartzler*
MO-5	Emanuel Cleaver		2005	8th			26.0%	13.5%
MO-5	Emanuel Cleaver II* Ryan Derks
MO-6	Sam Graves		2001	10th			33.4%	31.4%
MO-6	Gena Ross Sam Graves*
MO-7	Billy Long		2011	5th			36.3%	45.7%
MO-7	Teresa Montseny Billy Long*
MO-8	Jason Smith		2013	4th			48.3%	54.4%
MO-8	Kathy Ellis Jason Smith*
MS-1	Trent Kelly		2015	3rd			34.6%	33.0%
MS-1	Antonia Eliason Trent Kelly*
MS-2	Bennie Thompson		1993	14th			71.9%	28.5%
MS-2	Bennie Thompson* Brian Flowers
MS-3	Michael Guest		2019	1st			26.4%	24.5%
MS-3	Dorothy Benford Michael Guest*
MS-4	Steven Palazzo		2011	5th			40.2%	41.2%
MS-4	Incumbent is unopposed
NC-3	Greg Murphy		2019	1st			N/A	24.5%
NC-3	Daryl Farrow Greg Murphy*
NC-4	David Price		1997	12th			N/A	33.3%
NC-4	David Price* Robert Thomas
NC-5	Virginia Foxx		2005	8th			N/A	36.9%
NC-5	David Brown Virginia Foxx*
NC-7	David Rouzer		2015	3rd			N/A	19.9%
NC-7	Christopher Ward David Rouzer*
NC-10	Patrick McHenry		2005	8th			N/A	38.2%
NC-10	David Parker Patrick McHenry*
NC-12	Alma Adams		2014	4th			N/A	37.8%
NC-12	Alma Adams* Billy Brewster
NC-13	Ted Budd		2017	2nd			N/A	36.4%
NC-13	Scott Huffman Ted Budd*
ND-AL	Kelly Armstrong		2019	1st			24.6%	36.4%
ND-AL	Zach Raknerud Kelly Armstrong*
NE-1	Jeff Fortenberry		2005	8th			21.0%	21.3%
NE-1	Kate Bolz Jeff Fortenberry*
NE-3	Adrian Smith		2007	7th			53.4%	54.9%
NE-3	Mark Elworth Adrian Smith*
NJ-1	Donald Norcross		2014	4th			31.2%	24.5%
NJ-1	Donald Norcross* Claire Gustafson
NJ-4	Christopher Smith		1981	20th			12.3%	14.8%
NJ-4	Stephanie Schmid Christopher Smith*
NJ-5	Josh Gottheimer		2017	2nd			16.9%	1.0%
NJ-5	Josh Gottheimer* Frank Pallota
NJ-6	Frank Pallone		1988	17th			27.2%	15.6%
NJ-6	Frank Pallone, Jr.* Christian Onuoha
NJ-8	Albio Sires		2006	8th			59.6%	54.2%
NJ-8	Albio Sires* Jason Mushnick
NJ-9	Bill Pascrell Jr.		1997	12th			41.4%	31.2%
NJ-9	Bill Pascrell, Jr.* Billy Prempeh
NJ-10	Donald Payne Jr.		2012	5th			77.6%	72.4%
NJ-10	Donald Payne, Jr.* Jennifer Zinone
NJ-11	Mikie Sherrill		2019	1st			14.6%	0.8%
NJ-11	Mikie Sherrill* Rosemary Becchi
NJ-12	Bonnie Coleman		2015	3rd			37.3%	33.2%
NJ-12	Bonnie Watson Coleman* Mark Razzoli
NM-1	Debra Haaland		2019	1st			22.8%	16.5%
NM-1	Deb Haaland* Michelle Holmes
NM-3	Ben Ray Lujan		2009	6th			32.1%	15.1%
NM-3	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Teresa Fernandez Alexis Johnson
NV-1	Dina Titus		2013	4th			35.3%	29.0%
NV-1	Alice Titus* Joyce Bentley
NV-2	Marc Amodei		2011	5th			16.4%	12.3%
NV-2	Patricia Ackerman Mark Amodei*
NY-3	Thomas Suozzi		2017	2nd			17.7%	6.1%
NY-3	Thomas Suozzi* George A.D. Santos
NY-4	Kathleen Rice		2015	3rd			22.6%	9.6%
NY-4	Kathleen Rice* Douglas Tuman
NY-5	Gregory Meeks		1998	12th			*	73.0%
NY-5	Gregory Meeks* Amit Lal
NY-6	Grace Meng		2013	4th			90.3%	33.0%
NY-6	Grace Meng* Thomas Zmich
NY-7	Nydia Velazquez		1993	14th			93.3%	76.5%
NY-7	Nydia Velazquez* Brian Kelly
NY-8	Hakeem Jeffries		2013	4th			94.0%	71.1%
NY-8	Hakeem Jeffries* Garfield Wallace
NY-9	Yvette Clarke		2007	7th			78.9%	69.1%
NY-9	Yvette Clarke* Constantine Jean-Pierre
NY-10	Jerrold Nadler		1992	15th			62.4%	59.5%
NY-10	Jerrold Nadler* Cathy Bernstein
NY-12	Carolyn Maloney		1993	14th			73.9%	69.8%
NY-12	Carolyn Maloney* Carlos Santiago-Cano
NY-13	Adriano Espaillat		2017	2nd			89.2%	86.9%
NY-13	Adriano Espaillat* Lovelynn Gwinn
NY-14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez		2019	1st			64.1%	57.9%
NY-14	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez* John Cummings
NY-15	Jose Serrano		1990	16th			92.0%	88.9%
NY-15	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Ritchie Torres Orlando Molina
NY-16	Eliot Engel		1989	16th			*	52.6%
NY-16	Incumbent defeated in primary for 2020 election. Jamaal Bowman Patrick McManus
NY-17	Nita Lowey		1989	16th			87.8%	20.2%
NY-17	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Mondaire Jones Yehudis Gottesfeld
NY-20	Paul Tonko		2009	6th			32.9%	13.5%
NY-20	Paul D. Tonko* Elizabeth Joy
NY-21	Elise Stefanik		2015	3rd			14.9%	13.9%
NY-21	Tedra Cobb Elise Stefanik*
NY-23	Tom Reed		2010	6th			10.0%	14.8%
NY-23	Tracy Mitrano Tom Reed*
NY-25	Joseph Morelle		2018	2nd			17.8%	16.4%
NY-25	Joseph Morelle* George Mitris
NY-26	Brian Higgins		2005	8th			46.1%	19.6%
NY-26	Brian Higgins* Ricky Donovan
OH-2	Brad Wenstrup		2013	4th			16.8%	16.1%
OH-2	Jaime Castle Brad Wenstrup*
OH-3	Joyce Beatty		2013	4th			47.2%	38.4%
OH-3	Joyce Beatty* Mark Richardson
OH-4	Jim Jordan		2007	7th			30.8%	33.6%
OH-4	Shannon Freshour Jim Jordan*
OH-5	Robert Latta		2007	7th			27.4%	25.1%
OH-5	Nick Rubando Bob Latta*
OH-6	Bill Johnson		2011	5th			38.5%	42.6%
OH-6	Shawna Roberts Bill Johnson*
OH-7	Bob Gibbs		2011	5th			17.7%	29.7%
OH-7	Quentin Potter Bob Gibbs*
OH-8	Warren Davidson		2016	3rd			33.6%	34.5%
OH-8	Vanessa Enoch Warren Davidson*
OH-9	Marcy Kaptur		1983	19th			35.6%	22.2%
OH-9	Marcy Kaptur* Rob Weber
OH-11	Marcia Fudge		2008	7th			64.4%	63.5%
OH-11	Marcia Fudge* Laverne Gore
OH-13	Tim Ryan		2003	9th			21.9%	6.5%
OH-13	Tim Ryan* Christina Hagan
OH-14	David Joyce		2013	4th			10.4%	11.5%
OH-14	Hillary Mueri David Joyce*
OH-15	Steve Stivers		2011	5th			18.7%	15.4%
OH-15	Joel Newby Steve Stivers*
OH-16	Anthony Gonzalez		2019	1st			13.6%	16.6%
OH-16	Aaron Godfrey Anthony Gonzalez*
OK-1	Kevin Hern		2018	2nd			18.5%	28.7%
OK-1	Kojo Asamoa-Caesar Kevin Hern*
OK-2	Markwayne Mullin		2013	4th			34.9%	50.1%
OK-2	Danyell Lanier Markwayne Mullin*
OK-3	Frank Lucas		1994	14th			47.7%	52.7%
OK-3	Zoe Midyett Frank D. Lucas*
OK-4	Tom Cole		2003	9th			30.0%	37.4%
OK-4	Mary Brannon Tom Cole*
OR-1	Suzanne Bonamici		2012	5th			31.5%	22.8%
OR-1	Suzanne Bonamici* Chris Christensen
OR-2	Greg Walden		1999	11th			16.8%	20.1%
OR-2	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Alex Spenser Cliff Bentz
OR-3	Earl Blumenauer		1996	13th			54.2%	48.2%
OR-3	Earl Blumenauer* Joanna Harbour
OR-5	Kurt Schrader		2009	6th			13.1%	4.2%
OR-5	Kurt Schrader* Amy Courser
PA-2	Brendan Boyle		2015	3rd			58.0%	48.0%
PA-2	Brendan Boyle* David Torres
PA-3	Dwight Evans		2016	3rd			86.7%	83.9%
PA-3	Dwight Evans* Michael Harvey
PA-4	Madeleine Dean		2019	1st			27.0%	19.4%
PA-4	Madeleine Dean Cunnane* Kathy Barnette
PA-5	Mary Scanlon		2018	2nd			30.3%	28.2%
PA-5	Mary Scanlon* Dasha Pruett
PA-6	Chrissy Houlahan		2019	1st			17.7%	9.3%
PA-6	Christina Houlahan* John Emmons
PA-9	Dan Meuser		2019	1st			19.4%	34.0%
PA-9	Gary Wegman Daniel Meuser*
PA-11	Lloyd Smucker		2017	2nd			17.1%	25.8%
PA-11	Sarah Hammond Lloyd Smucker*
PA-12	Fred Keller		2019	1st			32.0%	36.5%
PA-12	Lee Griffin Fred Keller*
PA-13	John Joyce		2019	1st			40.9%	45.5%
PA-13	Todd Rowley John Joyce*
PA-14	Guy Reschenthaler		2019	1st			15.9%	29.0%
PA-14	William Marx Guy Reschenthaler*
PA-15	Glenn Thompson		2009	6th			35.6%	43.4%
PA-15	Robert Williams Glenn Thompson*
PA-18	Michael Doyle		1995	13th			*	26.8%
PA-18	Michael Doyle* Luke Negron
RI-1	David Cicilline		2011	5th			33.6%	25.6%
RI-1	Incumbent is unopposed
RI-2	James Langevin		2001	10th			27.2%	7.1%
RI-2	James R. Langevin* Robert Lancia
SC-3	Jeff Duncan		2011	5th			36.8%	38.0%
SC-3	Hosea Cleveland Jeff Duncan*
SC-4	William Timmons		2019	1st			23.0%	25.7%
SC-4	Kim Nelson William Timmons*
SC-5	Ralph Norman		2017	2nd			15.5%	18.5%
SC-5	Moe Brown Ralph Norman*
SC-6	James Clyburn		1993	14th			41.8%	36.5%
SC-6	James Clyburn* John McCollum
SC-7	Tom Rice		2013	4th			19.7%	18.9%
SC-7	Melissa Watson Tom Rice*
SD-AL	Dusty Johnson		2019	1st			24.3%	29.8%
SD-AL	Dusty Johnson* Randy Luallin
TN-1	Phil Roe		2009	6th			56.0%	57.0%
TN-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Blair Walsingham Diana Harshbarger
TN-2	Tim Burchett		2019	1st			32.8%	35.4%
TN-2	Renee Hoyos Tim Burchett*
TN-3	Chuck Fleischmann		2011	5th			29.2%	35.2%
TN-3	Meg Gorman Chuck Fleischmann*
TN-4	Scott DesJarlais		2011	5th			29.8%	41.2%
TN-4	Christopher Hale Scott DesJarlais*
TN-5	Jim Cooper		2003	9th			35.6%	18.4%
TN-5	Incumbent is unopposed
TN-6	John Rose		2019	1st			40.9%	48.9%
TN-6	Christopher Finley John Rose*
TN-7	Mark Green		2019	1st			34.7%	39.3%
TN-7	Kiran Sreepada Mark Green*
TN-8	David Kustoff		2017	2nd			37.5%	35.6%
TN-8	Erika Stotts Pearson David Kustoff*
TN-9	Steve Cohen		2007	7th			60.7%	57.7%
TN-9	Steve Cohen* Charlotte Bergmann
TX-1	Louie Gohmert		2005	8th			46.0%	46.9%
TX-1	Hank Gilbert Louie Gohmert*
TX-4	OPEN						52.6%	53.6%
TX-4	Russell Foster Patrick Fallon
TX-5	Lance Gooden		2019	1st			24.7%	28.4%
TX-5	Carolyn Salter Lance Gooden*
TX-8	Kevin Brady		1997	12th			48.6%	48.8%
TX-8	Elizabeth Hernandez Kevin Brady*
TX-9	Al Green		2005	8th			89.0%	61.3%
TX-9	Al Green* Johnny Teague
TX-11	K. Michael Conaway		2005	8th			61.8%	58.7%
TX-11	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Jon Hogg August Pfluger
TX-12	Kay Granger		1997	12th			30.4%	30.2%
TX-12	Lisa Welch Kay Granger*
TX-13	Mac Thornberry		1995	13th			64.6%	63.0%
TX-13	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Gus Trujillo Ronny Jackson
TX-14	Randy Weber		2013	4th			20.1%	19.8%
TX-14	Adrienne Bell Randy Weber*
TX-15	Vincente Gonzalez		2017	2nd			20.9%	16.7%
TX-15	Vicente Gonzalez* Monica De La Cruz-Hernandez
TX-16	Veronica Escobar		2019	1st			41.2%	40.7%
TX-16	Veronica Escobar* Irene Armendariz-Jackson
TX-17	Bill Flores		2011	5th			15.5%	17.5%
TX-17	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Rick Kennedy Pete Sessions
TX-18	Sheila Jackson-Lee		1995	13th			54.4%	56.5%
TX-18	Sheila Lee* Wendell Champion
TX-19	Jodey Arrington		2017	2nd			50.5%	49.0%
TX-19	Tom Watson Jodey Arrington*
TX-20	Joaquin Castro		2013	4th			80.8%	26.7%
TX-20	Joaquin Castro* Mauro Garza
TX-26	Michael Burgess		2003	9th			20.4%	26.5%
TX-26	Carol Iannuzzi Michael Burgess*
TX-27	Michael Cloud		2018	2nd			23.7%	23.6%
TX-27	Ricardo De La Fuente Michael Cloud*
TX-28	Henry Cuellar		2005	8th			84.4%	19.8%
TX-28	Henry Cuellar* Sandra Whitten
TX-29	Sylvia Garcia		2019	1st			51.1%	45.7%
TX-29	Sylvia R. Garcia* Jaimy Zouboulikos Blanco
TX-30	Eddie Johnson		1993	14th			91.0%	60.8%
TX-30	Eddie Johnson* Demetrick Pennie
TX-33	Marc Veasey		2013	4th			54.2%	49.2%
TX-33	Marc Veasey* Fabian Vasquez
TX-34	Filemon Vela		2013	4th			19.9%	21.5%
TX-34	Filemon Vela* Rey Gonzalez
TX-35	Lloyd Doggett		1995	13th			45.1%	33.6%
TX-35	Lloyd Doggett* Jenny Sharon
TX-36	Brian Babin		2015	3rd			45.1%	46.8%
TX-36	Rashad Lewis Brian Babin*
UT-1	Rob Bishop		2003	9th			36.7%	27.3%
UT-1	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Darren Parry Blake Moore
UT-2	Chris Stewart		2013	4th			17.1%	14.0%
UT-2	Kael Weston Chris Stewart*
UT-3	John Curtis		2017	2nd			40.2%	23.9%
UT-3	Devin Thorpe John Curtis*
VA-3	Robert Scott		1993	14th			*	31.7%
VA-3	Bobby Scott* John Collick Jr
VA-4	Donald McEachin		2017	2nd			26.6%	21.6%
VA-4	A. Donald McEachin* Leon Benjamin
VA-6	Ben Cline		2019	1st			19.4%	24.8%
VA-6	Nicholas Betts Ben Cline*
VA-8	Donald Beyer		2015	3rd			52.4%	52.6%
VA-8	Don Beyer* Jeff Jordan
VA-9	Morgan Griffith		2011	5th			30.4%	41.5%
VA-9	Incumbent is unopposed
VA-10	Jennifer Wexton		2019	1st			12.3%	10.0%
VA-10	Jennifer Wexton* Aliscia Andrews
VA-11	Gerald Connolly		2009	6th			44.1%	39.4%
VA-11	Gerald Connolly* Manga Anantatmula
VT-AL	Peter Welch		2007	7th			43.2%	26.4%
VT-AL	Peter Welch* Miriam Berry
WA-1	Suzan DelBene		2012	5th			18.5%	16.3%
WA-1	Suzan DelBene* Jeffrey Beeler
WA-2	Rick Larsen		2001	10th			71.2%	22.1%
WA-2	Rick Larsen* Timothy Hazelo
WA-4	Dan Newhouse		2015	3rd			25.6%	22.8%
WA-4	Douglas McKinley Dan Newhouse*
WA-5	Cathy McMorris Rodgers		2005	8th			9.5%	13.1%
WA-5	Dave Wilson Cathy McMorris Rodgers*
WA-6	Derek Kilmer		2013	4th			27.7%	12.3%
WA-6	Derek Kilmer* Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
WA-7	Pramila Jayapal		2017	2nd			67.1%	69.9%
WA-7	Pramila Jayapal* Craig Keller
WA-9	Adam Smith		1997	12th			36.2% ^	47.2%
WA-9	Adam Smith* Doug Basler
WA-10	Denny Heck		2013	4th			23.0%	11.4%
WA-10	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Beth Doglio Marilyn Strickland
WI-1	Bryan Steil		2019	1st			12.3%	10.3%
WI-1	Roger Polack Bryan Steil*
WI-2	Mark Pocan		2013	4th			*	36.8%
WI-2	Mark Pocan* Peter Theron
WI-4	Gwen Moore		2005	8th			53.6%	52.2%
WI-4	Gwen Moore* Tim Rogers
WI-5	Jim Sensenbrenner		1979	21st			24.0%	20.1%
WI-5	Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Tom Palzewicz Scott Fitzgerald
WI-6	Glenn Grothman		2015	3rd			11.0%	16.9%
WI-6	Jessica King Glenn S. Grothman*
WI-7	Tom Tiffany		2020	1st			21.6%	20.5%
WI-7	Tricia Zunker Tom Tiffany*
WI-8	Mike Gallagher		2017	2nd			27.4%	17.6%
WI-8	Amanda Stuck Mike Gallagher*
WV-1	David McKinley		2011	5th			29.1%	41.6%
WV-1	Natalie Cline David B McKinley*
WV-2	Alex Mooney		2015	3rd			10.9%	36.4%
WV-2	Cathy Kunkel Alex X Mooney*
WV-3	Carol Miller		2019	1st			12.7%	49.2%
WV-3	Hilary Turner Carol Miller*
WY-AL	Liz Cheney		2017	2nd			33.8%	47.6%
WY-AL	Lynnette Bull Liz Cheney*

^(a)Source: Daily Kos, 270toWin research. The margin is the percentage difference between the top two vote-getters in 2018.
More recent results (i.e., special elections held in 2019-20 for vacancies) are not displayed.
* Race was uncontested | ^Top two vote-getters were from the same party

^(b)Source: Daily Kos. The margin is the percentage difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

Niskanen Center House Forecast

As of July 26, 2020

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