2024 Republican Presidential Nomination

1,215 Delegates Needed to Win Nomination
The Republican Party will nominate a 2024 presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee the week of July 15, 2024.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
2,183


Haley
97


DeSantis
9


Ramaswamy
3

Delegate counts will be available beginning with the Iowa Caucus on January 15, 2024. A majority of the 2,429 delegates (1,215 or more) are needed to win the Republican nomination on the first ballot.

Visit the Republican Delegate Tracker for a breakdown of delegates earned by candidate and state.

The map below shows the estimated total number of delegates each state or territory will send to the Republican convention. Select a state on the map for more details about its primary or caucus. Each linked page will also include any available polling, along with results information as the event takes place.

VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC
AS
GU
MP
PR
VI
Early Super Tuesday March 5 Other March April May June
0 0 0 0 0 0

Republican contests allocate pledged delegates in a variety of ways, ranging from winner-take-all to proportional. Some locations base the allocation on the statewide result only. Others use a combination of statewide and jurisdictional (usually by congressional district).

A winner-take-all allocation to a candidate getting a plurality of the popular vote is only permitted for contests scheduled after March 15. For earlier contests, it is allowed with certain threshold conditions attached, such as the example in the next paragraph.

Many states have additional rules based on how the vote turns out. For example, ‘winner-take-all if a candidate gets a majority, otherwise proportional to all candidates getting 20%’. Sometimes these rules are different for statewide delegates, and those allocated by congressional district. Visit The Greenpapers and FHQ for the finer details of the state-by-state allocation rules.

National Polls

The results of national polling for a preferred Republican nominee is shown below. While these national polls are directionally interesting, the nominee will ultimately be chosen based on delegates earned during state-by-state primary and caucus votes.

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 78.8% 15.6% - - -
Emerson College 3/07/2024 578 RV 81% 15% - - 4%
Economist / YouGov 3/06/2024 586 RV 75% 15% - - 10%
Morning Consult 3/04/2024 3,804 RV ±2% 82% 17% - - 1%
TIPP Insights 3/04/2024 500 RV ±4.5% 79% 11% - - 10%
NY Times / Siena College 3/02/2024 292 RV 77% 20% - - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/28/2024 601 RV 80% 12% - - 8%
Morning Consult 2/27/2024 3,756 RV ±2% 81% 18% - - 1%
Marquette Law School 2/22/2024 358 RV ±6.6% 73% - 15% - 12%
Quinnipiac 2/21/2024 576 RV ±4.1% 80% 17% - - 3%
Economist / YouGov 2/21/2024 564 RV - 14% - 79% 7%
Show:

† The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.