2024 California Republican Primary

Show Results
Date: March 5, 2024
Delegates: 169
Allocation:
  • Winner take all where a candidate exceeds 50% of the statewide vote.
  • Otherwise, proportional to the statewide vote.
Notes:
  • The threshold to receive any delegates in 2020 was 20%; that has been removed for 2024.
  • The state's top-two primary for offices other than president is also March 5.

Information is estimated and subject to change. Delegate allocation rules can be very complex; this overview may not capture some details. For those interested in the finer points, we suggest Greenpapers or FHQ.

Estimated Delegates Earned


Trump
169


Haley
0

Polls

Source Date Sample Trump Haley DeSantis Ramaswamy Other
Poll Averages† 72.0% 19.5% 3.0% 3.0% -
Emerson College 2/29/2024 342 LV 75% 17% - - 8%
PPIC 2/23/2024 275 LV ±8.3% 64% 17% 3% 3% 13%
Emerson College 2/20/2024 315 RV 72% 20% - - 8%
Morning Consult 2/07/2024 1,095 LV ±3% 83% 16% - - 1%
USC Dornsife 2/01/2024 407 LV ±4.9% 66% 28% - - 6%
Emerson College 1/18/2024 377 RV 62% 10% 6% - 22%
Berkeley IGS 1/15/2024 1,351 LV ±3.5% 66% 11% 8% 3% 12%
PPIC 12/07/2023 276 LV ±7.5% 56% 13% 12% 2% 17%
Emerson College 11/17/2023 331 RV 63% 5% 11% 3% 18%
PPIC 11/09/2023 316 LV 53% 9% 12% 5% 21%
Show:

†The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.