2024 Senate Election Forecasts
These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.
2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
November 4: New Mexico Safe to Likely Democrat
Crystal Ball 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 4: Ohio Toss-up to Leans Republican; Texas Likely to Leans Republican Read the analysis >
Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 1: No changes. These are the final ratings. Read the analysis ($)
Inside Elections 2024 Senate Ratings
This map reflects the current 2024 Senate ratings from Inside Elections. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
October 31: Texas Lean to Tilt Republican.
Fox News 2024 Senate Power Rankings
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
These are the final 2024 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News. Use them as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.
October 29: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin Leans Democrat to Toss-up; Nebraska (regular) Likely to Leans Republican.
Split Ticket 2024 Senate Ratings
The final 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 4: New Mexico and Virginia Safe to Likely Democrat; Ohio Toss-up to Leans Republican
Elections Daily 2024 Senate Ratings
The current 2024 Senate ratings from Elections Daily. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 4: Nebraska (regular) Safe to Likely Republican; Ohio Toss-up to Lean Democrat; Texas Likely to Lean Republican. Read the analysis >
CNalysis 2024 Senate Ratings
Final 2024 Senate ratings from CNalysis. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 4: Michigan and Wisconsin Tilt to Lean D; Nebraska (regular) Lean to Tilt R; Nevada Likely to Lean D; Ohio Toss-up to Tilt D.
U.S. News 2024 Senate Ratings
The final 2024 Senate ratings from Louis Jacobson for U.S. News. Jacobson is the chief correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of the Almanac of American Politics 2024.
The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat.
November 4: Florida and Nebraska (regular) Likely to Lean Republican. Read the analysis >
