2016 Election Competitive States
As of November 5th
These are the states where the 2016 election is most like to be won or lost, based on a combination of polling and professional forecasts. For the map based just on polling, including a break out of states leaning toward one nominee, see the electoral map based on polls. To see a map based just on pro forecasts, see the consensus pundit map. For our view, see the 270toWin State of the Race map.
As the election draws near, these various maps should converge on roughly the same prediction.
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Headlines
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Primary; Oklahoma Special Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is seeking a second term in the first regularly scheduled election of 2025
Rep. Byron Donalds Running for Florida Governor in 2026
He'll look to succeed fellow Republican Ron DeSantis, who is ineligible to run due to term limit laws
Overview and Live Results: February 25 Legislative Special Elections
Voters in Connecticut and Maine will fill vacancies, while the California contests may require a top-two election in April
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