2016 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.
The number of states meeting this competitiveness criteria expanded significantly from 2012, when only four states (75 electoral votes) were decided by 5% or less. In 2016, four states were actually decided by less than 1% (Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).
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VT |
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NH |
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MA |
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RI |
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CT |
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NJ |
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DE |
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MD |
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DC |
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Headlines
Live Results: April 15 State Legislative and Oakland Mayoral Special Elections
Oakland voter will select a new mayor after the prior one was recalled in November
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family
Overview and Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is fighting an uphill battle to win a second term in this rematch from the 2021 election
House Updates: James Running for MI Gov.; Abbott Calls TX Special Election
The Michigan Republican looks to succeed Whitmer, while the special election will (eventually) fill a House vacancy
House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat
The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories
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