2016 Election: Very Close States
This isn’t a popularity contest™
This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2020 presidential election forecast.
The number of states meeting this competitiveness criteria expanded significantly from 2012, when only four states (75 electoral votes) were decided by 5% or less. In 2016, four states were actually decided by less than 1% (Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania).
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CT |
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Headlines
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
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