2020 Election: Very Close States

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This electoral map shows those states decided by 5% or less in popular vote in the 2020 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.

Eight states met this competitiveness criteria in 2020, down from 11 in 2016. Dropping off were Colorado, Maine, Minnesota and New Hampshire. Georgia - the closest of the 50 states in 2020 - was added.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
NE

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Headlines

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2024

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

November 14, 2024

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin

Republicans Retain House Majority

November 11, 2024

The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 10

November 10, 2024

One Senate seat remains undecided, along with ten House seats. Control of the House remains undetermined

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 8

November 8, 2024

Republicans need to win just two of the 15 uncalled elections to retain the majority in the House.