2020 Margin of Victory

This isn’t a popularity contest™

This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state. It displays the margin between Biden and Trump for the 2020 presidential election. The tilt color is used for states decided by less than 5%; leans is 5-10%, likely 10-15% and safe >15%.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election as a Trump vs. Biden forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
181
28
17
77
46
64
19
106
VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map Updated: Jan. 31, 2021 at 17:51 UTC (12:51 PM EST)

- +
Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
1 2 3
ME
2
1
1
NE
2
1
1
1

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