538 Forecast: 2024 Presidential Election
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. It is current as of the map timestamp.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
Overview and Live Results: Florida Congressional Special Elections
While winning might be a bridge too far for Dems in these deep red districts, a close outcome will
Live Results: April 1 Legislative Special Elections
Voters in Florida, Oklahoma, and South Carolina will begin the process of filling a number of legislative vacancies
Live Results: Omaha Mayoral Primary
Republican Mayor Jean Stothert seeks an unprecedented 4th term in office
Live Results: Louisiana Proposed Constitutional Amendments
These statewide ballot measures are part of the March 29 municipal election
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