2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
The map will update three times daily. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
Corey Lewandowski Rejoins Team Trump
Trump Walks Back Comments on Limiting Birth Control
Biden Likes Making News on Trump’s Day Off
Kerry Kennedy Leads Campaign Against Her Brother
Senate Candidate Tells Different Story of Navy Discharge
Headlines
Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries
Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon
Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election
The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
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