2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls

Current as of Map Timestamp

This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.

States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.

This final update for this map was July 21, the day President Biden withdrew from the race.

Current

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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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NE

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Headlines

Final 2024 Election Maps

December 4, 2024

Interactive Maps for the 2024 Election Results for President, Senate, House, and Governor

House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled

November 28, 2024

Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2024

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

November 14, 2024

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin

Republicans Retain House Majority

November 11, 2024

The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats