2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Biden-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. Where polling is not yet available, the 2020 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used.
States where the margin is <5% are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is <10%, Likely <15%. Safe is 15% or higher.
This final update for this map was July 21, the day President Biden withdrew from the race.
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Headlines
Early Voting Begins in Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
The ideological balance of power will be decided in this election for a ten-year term to succeed the retiring Justice Ann Walsh Bradley
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
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