2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used.
The map automatically updates three times daily.
States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is up to 8%, Likely up to 12%. Safe is >12%.
The map is interactive. Use it to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.
October 1: Ranges (see above) for each category narrowed. Polling should be more predictive as the election draws near. Prior ranges were <5% for Toss-up, <10% Leaning, <15% Likely.
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Headlines
Cook Political Report Releases Initial 2026 House Ratings
The midterm election is shaping up to be another closely-contested battle for control of the chamber
Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries
The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1
Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters Won't Seek Reelection in 2026
He is completing his second term. He chaired the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the past two cycles
Cook Political Report Introduces 2026 Governor Ratings
36 states will hold elections next year; the forecaster sees five toss-ups with their initial ratings
Live Results: South Carolina State House District 113 Special Primary
Three Democrats are vying to replace former Rep. Marvin Pendarvis, who resigned this past September.
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