2024 Electoral Map Based on Polls
Current as of Map Timestamp
This map tracks a Harris-Trump electoral vote count for the 2024 presidential election based entirely on polls. No polling is available yet in some less competitive states. In those cases, the Consensus Forecast rating is used.
The map automatically updates three times daily.
States where the margin is 4% or less are shown as Toss-up. Leaning is up to 8%, Likely up to 12%. Safe is >12%.
The map is interactive. Use it to create and share your 2024 presidential election forecast.
October 1: Ranges (see above) for each category narrowed. Polling should be more predictive as the election draws near. Prior ranges were <5% for Toss-up, <10% Leaning, <15% Likely.
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Headlines
Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled
The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14
Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin
Republicans Retain House Majority
The reelection of Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06) gives the GOP 218 seats
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 10
One Senate seat remains undecided, along with ten House seats. Control of the House remains undetermined
Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 8
Republicans need to win just two of the 15 uncalled elections to retain the majority in the House.
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