2024 Map Based on Polls (No Toss-ups)

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated three times daily, this map will track the electoral vote count based on polling, with no toss-ups (unless exactly tied).

The candidate that leads in the polls is shown as the winner of the state. The 2020 party winner is used where there are no polls.

See the regular Harris-Trump Polling Map for more granular ratings based on the polling margin between the two nominees.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

The map at this URL was originally created for the 2024 election as a Trump vs. Harris forecast. For an interactive map, choose one of the following:
  • Click here to go to the 2024 historical interactive map
  • Click here to create a 2028 map at the home page
  • Click here to edit the map below
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Headlines

Cook Political Report Releases Initial 2026 House Ratings

February 7, 2025

The midterm election is shaping up to be another closely-contested battle for control of the chamber

Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries

January 28, 2025

The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1

Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters Won't Seek Reelection in 2026

January 28, 2025

He is completing his second term. He chaired the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the past two cycles

Cook Political Report Introduces 2026 Governor Ratings

January 24, 2025

36 states will hold elections next year; the forecaster sees five toss-ups with their initial ratings

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 113 Special Primary

January 21, 2025

Three Democrats are vying to replace former Rep. Marvin Pendarvis, who resigned this past September.