2024 Map Based on Polls (No Toss-ups)
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated three times daily, this map will track the electoral vote count based on polling, with no toss-ups (unless exactly tied).
The candidate that leads in the polls is shown as the winner of the state. The 2020 party winner is used where there are no polls.
See the regular Harris-Trump Polling Map for more granular ratings based on the polling margin between the two nominees.
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
In her announcement video, Reynolds cited a desire to spend more time with her family
Overview and Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is fighting an uphill battle to win a second term in this rematch from the 2021 election
House Updates: James Running for MI Gov.; Abbott Calls TX Special Election
The Michigan Republican looks to succeed Whitmer, while the special election will (eventually) fill a House vacancy
House Updates: Patronis, Fine Seated After Wins; Pappas to Seek NH Senate Seat
The narrow GOP advantage expands to 220-213 as the newest members are quickly sworn in after their special election victories
Overview and Live Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
One of the more consequential races of 2025 will decide the ideological balance of the court
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