JHK Forecasts: 2024 Presidential Election
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2024 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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GOP Leaders Urge Members to Stop Attacking on Race
Reed Hastings Gives $7 Million to Harris PAC
Kamala Harris Gives Her First Campaign Speech
Presidential Race Is a Dead Heat
Bonus Quote of the Day
Headlines
Updating the 270toWin Website After Biden's Withdrawal
The site will be updated with tools to reflect an expected contest with Vice President Harris as the Democratic nominee
Update on U.S. House Vacancies
The death of Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee created a third open seat; Republicans hold a 220-212 partisan edge
Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary
The winner of the September 18 special election will complete the term of the late Donald Payne Jr.
Introducing the 2024 Presidential Election Simulator
Run a simulated Biden - Trump election or view the results of 25,000 daily simulations
Electoral Maps: Compare the Consensus Forecast to Polling
A side-by-side look at how the experts see the November, 2024 presidential election and what the polls currently show.
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