JHK Forecasts: 2024 Presidential Election

Current as of Map Timestamp

Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast.  This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.

Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2024 election simulator.

The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

no 2024 election
no 2024 election
VT
NH
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Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
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Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map:

Headlines

Electoral College Meets Tuesday

December 16, 2024

The next step in the presidential process will affirm Donald Trump received the necessary 270 electoral votes to be elected

Final 2024 Election Maps

December 4, 2024

Interactive Maps for the 2024 Election Results for President, Senate, House, and Governor

House Election Update: One District Remains Uncalled

November 28, 2024

Republicans will hold one of the narrowest majorities in history as the new Congress gets underway in January

Republicans Flip Alaska Congressional District; Two California Districts Remain Uncalled

November 16, 2024

The final tally will be close to where we started - Republicans held a 221-214 edge heading into the election.

Uncalled Congressional Races as of November 14

November 14, 2024

Four U.S. House and one U.S. Senate seat remain uncalled by Decision Desk HQ, which provides results to 270toWin