JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Minnesota State Senate Special Primary: Overview and Live Results
The primary takes place with a number of controversies affecting the Legislature as it begins a new session
Overview and Live Results: Virginia General Assembly Special Elections
The 2025 calendar kicks off with elections to fill three vacancies. Upsets could upend the balance of power in the General Assembly
Introducing the 2026 Senate Interactive Map
22 Republicans and 13 Democrats will be up in 2026; this includes special elections in Florida and Ohio.
Introducing the 2026 House Interactive Map
Republicans start the 119th congress with a very narrow 219-215 partisan edge.
New Interactive Map: 2025-2026 Gubernatorial Elections
38 states will elect a governor through next year, starting off with New Jersey and Virginia in 2025
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