JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
Updated daily, this is an electoral map projection based on JHK Forecasts presidential election forecast. This data-driven model was created by Jack Kersting.
Outputs from the model drive much of the 270toWin 2020 election simulator.
The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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Headlines
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell to Retire at End of Term
Currently second in seniority to Chuck Grassley, the 83 year old Republican will not seek an 8th term
Overview and Live Results: Delaware and Louisiana Legislative Special Elections
Two vacancies in the Senate of each state will be filled Saturday
Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith Not Seeking Reelection in 2026
She becomes the second Democratic Senator to retire this cycle
Cook Political Report Releases Initial 2026 House Ratings
The midterm election is shaping up to be another closely-contested battle for control of the chamber
Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries
The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1
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