Kalshi 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
The final update for this map on 270toWin will be the evening prior to Election Day.
For real-time market pricing, which will change frequently as results come in, see this map at the Kalshi website.
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Headlines
Minnesota State Senate Special Primary: Overview and Live Results
The primary takes place with a number of controversies affecting the Legislature as it begins a new session
Overview and Live Results: Virginia General Assembly Special Elections
The 2025 calendar kicks off with elections to fill three vacancies. Upsets could upend the balance of power in the General Assembly
Introducing the 2026 Senate Interactive Map
22 Republicans and 13 Democrats will be up in 2026; this includes special elections in Florida and Ohio.
Introducing the 2026 House Interactive Map
Republicans start the 119th congress with a very narrow 219-215 partisan edge.
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