Kalshi 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
The final update for this map on 270toWin will be the evening prior to Election Day.
For real-time market pricing, which will change frequently as results come in, see this map at the Kalshi website.
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Headlines
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
Live Results: St. Louis Mayoral Primary; Oklahoma Special Election
Mayor Tishaura Jones is seeking a second term in the first regularly scheduled election of 2025
Rep. Byron Donalds Running for Florida Governor in 2026
He'll look to succeed fellow Republican Ron DeSantis, who is ineligible to run due to term limit laws
Overview and Live Results: February 25 Legislative Special Elections
Voters in Connecticut and Maine will fill vacancies, while the California contests may require a top-two election in April
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell to Retire at End of Term
Currently second in seniority to Chuck Grassley, the 83 year old Republican will not seek an 8th term
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