Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Trump Walks Back Comments on Limiting Birth Control
Biden Likes Making News on Trump’s Day Off
Kerry Kennedy Leads Campaign Against Her Brother
Senate Candidate Tells Different Story of Navy Discharge
Mysterious Outfit Pays Steve Garvey’s Property Taxes
Headlines
Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries
Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon
Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election
The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary
Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense
Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor
The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor
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