RacetotheWH 2024 Presidential Forecast
Current as of Map Timestamp
The 2024 Presidential Election forecast from RacetotheWH. This data driven model was created by Logan Phillips, who founded the website in 2020.
The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Very Light (65%+) Light (75%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Trump Says He Won’t Do Another Debate
Harris Raised $47 Million After Debate
Democrats Run as ‘Team Normal’
Harris Looks to Trigger Trump Over Crowd Sizes Again
Harris Builds Lead Over Trump
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries
The final three statewide primaries before the November 5 general election take place Tuesday
Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary
Outside two GOP congressional primaries, there's not all that much to see in this Democratic stronghold
Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election
Top two runoffs are required in 10 state legislative districts where no candidate received a majority in the June 18 primary
538 Forecast Model Relaunches for Harris vs. Trump General Election
The forecast starts with a small lead for Harris, but the site notes a wide range of outcomes are ultimately possible
Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries
Just a handful of 2024 primaries will remain after Tuesday's contests
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