RacetotheWH 2024 Presidential Forecast

Current as of Map Timestamp

The 2024 Presidential Election forecast from RacetotheWH. This data driven model was created by Logan Phillips, who founded the website in 2020. 

The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Very Light (65%+) Light (75%+), Medium (85%+), Dark (95%+).

The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.

Final pre-election update was at approximately 6:20AM ET on November 5.

no 2024 election
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VT
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
DC

Map :

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Safe Likely Leans Tilt Toss-up 3P
State District
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ME
NE

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Headlines

Introducing the 2026 Senate Interactive Map

January 3, 2025

22 Republicans and 13 Democrats will be up in 2026; this includes special elections in Florida and Ohio.

Introducing the 2026 House Interactive Map

January 3, 2025

Republicans start the 119th congress with a very narrow 219-215 partisan edge.

New Interactive Map: 2025-2026 Gubernatorial Elections

January 3, 2025

38 states will elect a governor through next year, starting off with New Jersey and Virginia in 2025

Electoral College Meets Tuesday

December 16, 2024

The next step in the presidential process will affirm Donald Trump received the necessary 270 electoral votes to be elected

Final 2024 Election Maps

December 4, 2024

Interactive Maps for the 2024 Election Results for President, Senate, House, and Governor