Split Ticket 2024 President Ratings
As of November 4, 2024
The final Split Ticket ratings for the 2024 presidential election. Use this map to create and share your own forecast.
The Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
November 4: Toss-ups removed. Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina to Tilts Republican; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to Tilts Democrat. Colorado Safe to Likely Democrat. Read the analysis >
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Headlines
Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77
The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026
She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities
Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections
State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.
Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings
The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026
Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70
In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee
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