Polling Update: September 18 through 21

The map below summarizes the states where polls have been released since Sunday. Coloring reflects the survey results. Within five points is shown as toss-up, while a spread of greater than 10 points yields the darkest blue/red. The lighter blue/red is for spreads of 6-10 points.

The full list of recent presidential polls can be found here, with the full set of polling averages also available.

In this recent batch of polls, Trump is doing better than might be expected in several blue states, including Wisconsin (Clinton +2), Maine (Clinton +5, but Trump +5 in 2nd District) and Minnesota (Clinton +6). Clinton is performing better in Florida (Clinton +5) and New Hampshire (Clinton +9) than in other recent polling.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Arizona Rep. Raul Grijalva Dies at Age 77

The 12 term Democrat had been receiving cancer treatment

Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire Not Running in 2026

She is the third Democrat to retire this cycle, all in states that represent Republican pickup opportunities

Overview and Live Results: March 11 State House Special Elections

State House vacancies in Iowa and Minnesota will be filled Tuesday. There is also a special State Senate primary in Alabama.

Inside Elections 2026 House Ratings

The forecaster's initial projection shows another tightly contested battle for control in 2026

Rep. Sylvester Turner of Texas Dies at 70

In November, the former mayor of Houston won the seat long-held by fellow Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee