Polling Update: September 18 through 21

The map below summarizes the states where polls have been released since Sunday. Coloring reflects the survey results. Within five points is shown as toss-up, while a spread of greater than 10 points yields the darkest blue/red. The lighter blue/red is for spreads of 6-10 points.

The full list of recent presidential polls can be found here, with the full set of polling averages also available.

In this recent batch of polls, Trump is doing better than might be expected in several blue states, including Wisconsin (Clinton +2), Maine (Clinton +5, but Trump +5 in 2nd District) and Minnesota (Clinton +6). Clinton is performing better in Florida (Clinton +5) and New Hampshire (Clinton +9) than in other recent polling.

comments powered by Disqus

Headlines

Overview and Live Results: Florida Special Congressional Primaries

The Republican nominees that emerge will be heavily favored in special elections to be held on April 1

Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters Won't Seek Reelection in 2026

He is completing his second term. He chaired the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the past two cycles

Cook Political Report Introduces 2026 Governor Ratings

36 states will hold elections next year; the forecaster sees five toss-ups with their initial ratings

Live Results: South Carolina State House District 113 Special Primary

Three Democrats are vying to replace former Rep. Marvin Pendarvis, who resigned this past September.

Minnesota State Senate Special Primary: Overview and Live Results

The primary takes place with a number of controversies affecting the Legislature as it begins a new session